World Cup 2018: England Betting Specials
Can Gareth Southgate’s England end 52 years of hurt at this year’s World Cup or are the Three Lions destined to end another major tournament in disappointment? The English are a mid-range price to win the competition but if you are wary of making such a bold punt, there are plenty of alternatives.
The bookmakers know that a lot of UK punters will get involved with Russia 2018 so there are a lot of side markets involving England that focus away from the outright betting. Here’s a list of what you can look forward to as the tournament draws ever closer.
Just for confirmation, England are a best price 18/1 with bet365 to win the 2018 World Cup and that puts them some way behind favourites Brazil who are currently on offer at 19/4 with Unibet. Southgate’s side have a higher placed representative in the Golden Boot betting however with Harry Kane starting as third favourite along with Cristiano Ronaldo and Antoine Griezmann.
Kane is available at a top price of 16/1 with Unibet and Betway to finish as the tournament’s leading scorer. Favourite Lionel Messi, at 10/1 with Sky Bet, has been notoriously poor in major tournaments so if England do go deep into this competition, their leading striker could be a good option in this competition.
How Far Will They Go?
It’s also possible to bet on the point at which England will be eliminated from the World Cup. Not all bookmakers have got involved with this one just yet but 21Bet have a full set of options and the prices are interesting ones.
If you think that the Three Lions won’t make it out of their groups, 21Bet are offering odds of 9/2 while the price to be eliminated in the Round of 16 stands at 11/5. 21Bet are also quoting that same 11/5 figure on a quarter final defeat and from there, the prices stretch out to 5/1 for the semi final or 11/1 if England were to finish as runners up.
England are rebuilding under Southgate and while the new manager has brought through some talented young players, it may be a little too early to expect this side to go too far. The boldest punt we would attempt would be at a quarter final elimination at 11/5.
21Bet also make it possible for punters to speculate on how many points England will take from their group. Remember, Southgate’s men have been drawn with Belgium, Panama and Tunisia so, in theory there is one really tough fixture there along with two matches that they would expect to win.
For England to win all three games and pick up a maximum of nine points, 21Bet are quoting odds of 7/2 while at the other end of the scale, three defeats and zero points is offered at 100/1. That’s an extremely unlikely scenario but a strong option is seven points at 13/5.
A very plausible scenario would see England pick up a point from their game with Belgium alongside two wins over weaker opposition in Tunisia and Panama and 13/5 is a decent price.
As an alternative to betting on the exact amount of points that England will achieve in their group, GentingBet give you the option to stake over or under a line. That line has been set at 6.50 points and if you bet over, the odds currently stand at 6/5 while backing the ‘under’ option sees that price drop considerably to 6/10.
Based on our theory that England should take at least seven points from their section, the Over line bet looks relatively generous in this instance. Similarly, Genting have an Overs and Unders market based on how many goals England will score in their group with Over 5.5 currently standing at 13/10 and Under at 8/15.
Once again, there is some value in the Over option although based on recent results, England will need Harry Kane to be fit and firing in order to deliver on that 13/10 price.
Who Makes The Plane?
Talking of fitness, England manager Gareth Southgate will be hoping that the key members of his squad manage to avoid injury during the closing stages of the Premier League season. Countries should be naming their squads for Russia from the end of May onwards and for England at least, there is an active betting market where you can speculate on who makes the final cut.
There are dozens of names available and this is a much busier market with the majority of bookmakers getting involved, even at this early stage. There are some obvious choices in this market and we have five joint favourites with Kyle Walker, Jordan Pickford and Raheem Sterling at best odds of 1/20 with Betway while Spurs teammates Harry Kane and Dele Alli are at that same top price of 1/20 with MarathonBet.
In the case of those five players, plus a number of others, only an injury is likely to see them miss out on a place in Southgate’s final squad so where is the real value in this market? After a series of odds on prices, Danny Welbeck and Joe Hart can both be picked up at a best of Even Money with MarathonBet and that’s an interesting price for Hart in particular.
The keeper came has received widespread criticism for much of his career and was largely blamed for England’s exit from Euro 2016 at the hands of lowly Iceland. At one point this season, he was even dropped by West Ham but even if he doesn’t start this World Cup as Southgate’s first choice stopper, he will surely be in the final squad owing to his experience.
Other interesting prices for this bet include Manchester United’s Chris Smalling at a best of 4/1 with William Hill and Jake Livermore at that same top price of 4/1 with bet365. Livermore has been a willing and able deputy who can cover a number of options in midfield and while he may not be an absolute first choice, he could well be the first person that Southgate turns to in the event of any injuries across the middle of the park.
The market for England’s final World Cup squad is just one of a number of early options that you can take ahead of the tournament. There’s still a long way to go until the first ball is kicked in Russia but the prices will change when the next set of international friendlies come around so, if you’re looking for some good ante post value, the following three suggestions could all add up to a decent profit as England head towards the knockout phase.
- England to pick up seven points from their group at 13/5 with 21Bet
- England to score over 5.5 goals in their group at 13/10 with GentingBet
- Joe Hart to be selected in England’s final World Cup Squad at Even Money with MarathonBet