US Open Golf 2019: Betting and Odds Preview
Rescheduling of the golfing calendar means that the 2019 Majors are coming thick and fast. On Thursday, the World’s best players are heading to Pebble Beach in California for the US Open and we have a tight betting market at the top.
The man in form is Rory McIlroy who shot a stunning last round 61 to close out the Canadian Open on Sunday but there are some serious challengers as we move through the field.
Event Date: Jun 13–16, 2019
Out in Front
Rory can be claimed at best industry odds of 8/1 with Unibet and Black Type. He’s a former winner of this tournament with victory coming in 2011 but it’s worth keeping in mind that he’s missed the cut in the last three US Opens.
Betting remains tight behind the favourite and we now come to Dustin Johnson who can be claimed at a top price of 9/1 with BetFred. DJ was our US Open Champion back in 2016 and has continued to deliver a strong showing at the big events this year.
Completing the top four are reigning champion Brooks Koepka and he’s followed by US Masters winner Tiger Woods. Black Type have the best numbers on each man at 10/1 and 13/1 respectively and there are good reasons why there should be interest in both.
Brooks Koepka is not only our defending champion, he’s also won the event for the last two years and is going for the first consecutive US Open treble since 1905. Few will back against him after his stunning victory at the US PGA a few weeks ago.
From Tiger, we start to move out until we find two former US Open Champions. England’s Justin Rose is looking to rediscover his FedEx winning form from last season and he can be picked up at best odds of 28/1 with William Hill and Unibet.
Also in the mix is 2015 US Open winner Jordan Spieth. He’s closing in on two years without a win but there have been hints of his best form so Spieth will see some backers at a top price of 22/1 with Black Type.
There is lots of potential for picking out a winner at a good price here and remember, most bookmakers will pay down to at least five places for an Each Way punt. With that in mind, other players to consider in the mid-range odds bracket might include Matt Kuchar at 40/1 with Ladbrokes and Coral, Webb Simpson at 45/1 with RedZoneSports and SportNation, Paul Casey at 50/1 with Betway and Bryson Dechambeau at 55/1 with Black Type.
Any outsiders that we look at in this section are more likely to be options for the Top Ten market. Recent majors haven’t produced too many shocks and we can’t see that situation changing at Pebble Beach.
The odds comparison sites are reporting a lot of interest in Kevin Na who is available at best odds of 125/1 with William Hill and SportingBet. Na is a recent winner on Tour and a capable golfer but can he be expected to stand out in a much stronger field?
A more likely option could be Bubba Watson who enjoyed so much success in the US Masters over the years. The booming left hander is quoted at a top price of 125/1 with Unibet and 10Bet while other suggested picks include Matt Wallace at best odds of 125/1 with Black Type, Ian Poulter at a top price of 125/1 with William Hill and Martin Kaymer at a best of 120/1 with Black Type.
Course, Trends and Indicators
The 2019 version of the US Open will be played at Pebble Beach in California. It’s a regular host on Tour to the AT&T Pro Am but it hasn’t hosted the US Open since 2010. What was noticeable at that 2019 Pro Am was the unusually narrow fairways. This isn’t a long course by any means so accuracy is going to be crucial across the entire four days.
Greens in Regulation, Scrambling and Strokes Gained will be among the key stats to look for this week and we think the winner is going to carry a short price. Recent winners have been highly-fancied Americans and that’s another trend to follow this week.
Rory McIlroy is clearly the man in form after that incredible last round in Hamilton but is he really a worthy favourite? Current performances have been strong and he’s taken out two big events this season but that recent history in the US Open is concerning.
We suspect that the man to beat over at Pebble Beach is going to be Brooks Koepka. At the US Open last year at Shinnecock Hills, he seemed to be playing a different course to the rest of the field and we saw a similar showing at this year’s US PGA just a few weeks ago.
If the defending champion looks too short for comfort at those odds of 10/1 with Black Type, we suggest taking a look at these Each Way and Top Ten suggestions. Matt Kuchar has been consistent all season and leads the race for the FedEx trophy while Casey, Na and Simpson all have the form and ability to return single digit finishes.
Thursday is the date for what could be the tightest US Open in years and hopefully these tips will also make it a profitable one.
- Matt Kuchar each way at 40/1 with Ladbrokes
- Kevin Na for a Top Ten Finish at 10/1 with Betway
- Webb Simpson for a Top Ten Finish at 7/2 with Coral
- Paul Casey for a Top Ten Finish at 5/1 with William Hill