United States Grand Prix: Hamilton Closing in on Another Title

Just a few short weeks ago it seemed as though we would have the tightest finish to a Formula One Drivers’ Championship for many years. Just a few points separated Lewis Hamilton and Sebastian Vettel at the top of the table and a classic end to 2017 looked to be in sight.

However, as we head towards the United States Grand Prix this weekend, some quality driving from Hamilton, coupled with some questionable decisions from the German look to have ended that particular duel. The Englishman’s lead now stands at 59 points but while there may be little point in betting in that particular market, the US GP gives us lots of options.

Outright Winner

Needless to say, Lewis Hamilton is a clear favourite in the outright winner markets and you can claim the Mercedes man at a best price of 17/20 with 888Sport to take the chequered flag this weekend. Sebastian Vettel is the inevitable second favourite and the German is available at best odds of 5/2 with William Hill and SkyBet.

Those two haven’t had things all their own way this season and we’ve also seen wins for the Finnish duo of Valtteri Bottas and Kimi Raikkonen. For this week’s race, Bottas is available at a top price of 7/1 with MarathonBet while Raikkonen is distant at best odds of 14/1 with BetFred and SkyBet.

Also on 14/1 with Sun Bets and 188Bet is Max Verstappen but while we’ve mentioned five names here, does it just come down to a battle between two drivers?

Previous Records

Lewis Hamilton

It’s always worth delving into previous results in the same Grand Prix and these will obviously have more relevance if the latest event is being held on the same circuit. All of the stats in this respect point to Hamilton who is a five time winner here. In fact, the Englishman comes into this weekend’s race seeking his fourth straight victory on this circuit, having won for three years in succession from 2014.

Vettel does have a win here, having taken the chequered flag here in 2013 when driving for Red Bull but only those two drivers, out of all those who are competing this weekend, have tasted victory in the US.

In 2016, the outcome was typical of Mercedes’ dominance in that season with eventual champion Nico Rosberg taking second place to Hamilton with Red Bull’s Daniel Ricciardo in third. Ricciardo is back this year and a distant option at best odds of 16/1 with Bet365 and Betway in the outright winner markets.

Options

If you’re also of the opinion that this is effectively a two-horse race then you can always look away from the straight result betting and see what other options you may have. A top three, podium finish is usually a strong alternative where you can look beyond Hamilton and Vettel and check for any value further down the field.

We mentioned Ricciardo’s third place in 2016 and the Red Bull man can be picked up at a top price of 13/8 with SkyBet to make it onto the podium. Other options for this bet include Valtteri Bottas at 5/6 and Max Verstappen at 6/4 and once again, those best odds come from SkyBet.

The Fastest Lap market is another that could prove to be more hotly contested than others and here you have Hamilton as an odds-against option at best odds of 11/8 with BetFred and SkyBet. Vettel comes into play at best odds of 11/4 with William Hill but there is lots of potential as we move through the betting.

Raikkonen has delivered two fastest laps in 2017 and can be backed at a top price of 9/1 with Bet365 and 10Bet while we’ve even seen Mexican Sergio Perez achieve this feat in 2017. Perez is listed at best odds of 40/1 with SkyBet and William Hill to deliver the fastest lap in the US.

In the pole position market, Hamilton has dominated this taking ten poles in the sixteen races so far this season. As a result, he is very short in this particular market at 4/6 with BetFred but that could even be seen as more of a guarantee than in the straight win betting.

Vettel’s challenge may be waning but the German has been strong this year and he remains a threat in the betting for the US Grand Prix this week. Momentum is with Hamilton however and actually, odds of 17/20 aren’t that bad for a man who has won four of the last five races.

We feel it’s there for the English driver again but if you aren’t comfortable with those odds, there are some better priced options from around the sportsbooks in the lead up to the start.

Best Bets:

  • Lewis Hamilton to win at 17/20 with 888Sport
  • Daniel Ricciardo for a Top 3 Finish at 13/8 with SkyBet
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