UEFA Nations League: Portugal v Switzerland Odds and Betting Preview
In some quarters, the inception of the Nations League was met with disdain and ridicule, but the reality has proven to be quite the opposite. The tournament has been a definite success and a competition that should continue on through the years.
This new concept has been an excellent addition to the international football calendar, and now we have four nations, Portugal, Switzerland, England and the Netherlands battling it out over the next few days to be the inaugural UEFA Nations League Champions.
Portugal have the benefit of being the host nation of this tournament, and they kick off proceedings against Switzerland on Wednesday night at the Estádio do Dragão, in Porto with a kick-off time of 19:45 BST.
Date: June 5, 2019
Early Team News
Cristiano Ronaldo is expected to return to the Portuguese line-up for the first time since the 2018 World Cup. And the Juventus star could be joined in attack by a player at the other end of their career in the form of Joao Felix, as the 19-year-old Benfica starlet is attracting the interest of some of Europe’s biggest clubs.
Danilo Pereira is suspended for the game, which could open the door for Sporting Lisbon’s Bruno Fernandes. Joao Cancelo will get the nod at right-back while Ruben Dias and Pepe are the most likely partnership in central defence and Mario Rui is expected to start at left-back in front of Wolves goalkeeper Rui Patricio.
For the Swiss, Liverpool forward Xherdan Shaqiri is likely to return to the starting line-up, but it is unclear how boss Vladimir Petkovic will form his team, so Shaqiri could play anywhere along the forward line.
Fabian Schar should return to the defence, and that could result in Ricardo Rodriguez replacing Steven Zuber at left-back or left wing-back.
Head to Head
Wednesday’s encounter will represent the 23rd meeting between the two sides, with Switzerland registering 10 wins in comparison to seven victories for Portugal.
However, just three games have taken place since the turn of the century, and each of those matches have produced 2-0 outcomes, with all of those being home wins (one for Portugal and two for the Swiss).
The teams traded results during the qualification stages for the 2018 World Cup, while Switzerland prevailed when the nations met at Euro 2008.
Fernando Santos’s side have recorded draws in each of their last four matches, while Switzerland have won just three of their last seven games in all competitions. Unibet offer the best industry price on a win inside normal time on the Portuguese of 4/6. Unibet once again are top-priced on the Draw at 29/10, while a Swiss victory can be taken with William Hill at 24/5.
If we take a brief look at the To Qualify market, it has Portugal as 1/3 favourites to progress with Ladbrokes and William Hill, while Sweden are a generally available 9/4 chance to reach the final. In terms of the Outright Market to lift the Nations League, Portugal are best priced 9/5 with SportPesa and 10BET, while Switzerland are the rank outsiders at 7/1 with Ladbrokes and William Hill.
Individual Goal Scorers
This market is littered with Portuguese players as you might expect towards the head of the betting. None more so than Cristiano Ronaldo, who is a top priced 5/2 shot with Black Type. Everything goes through the former Real Madrid man, so even though it is a short price, it is definitely one to consider – especially as Ronaldo also takes penalties.
Joao Felix is a 6/1 chance with SportPesa and 10BET, while Bruno Fernandes is an 8/1 poke with the same firms. Betfred are top price of 10/1 on Manchester City star, Bernardo Silva, who should also be worthy of consideration.
The first Swiss involvement in the First Goal Scorer market is Haris Seferovic, who is a 9/1 shot with Betway, while Josep Drmic is a 10/1 chance with Black Type and SportPesa.
At bigger prices, the likes of William Carvalho at 25/1 with Betway could prove profitable from midfield, while Arsenal midfielder Granit Zhaka – who loves a long-range strike – at 28/1 with Ladbrokes and William Hill is worth noting.
Other Side Bets
The odds on UNDER 2.5 Goals are rather short in this game – but for very good reason. The Portuguese – Ronaldo aside – are an obdurate outfit who have struggled to score goals. Portugal have scored more than one goal in a competitive game just twice in their last 11 outings. Switzerland are likely to be setup to stifle the hosts in this game, which should accentuate our chances of a low goals output in this tie. At 17/20 with 888Sport, less than three goals in this game is a likely winner and should be a bet to keep onside.
I have a ready preference for a Portugal win in this contest at the end of full-time. With that in mind, a 2-0 Correct Score bet for the home side after ninety minutes could once again prove profitable. SportingBet is the place to get this punt on at the top price available of 7/1.
As an alternative for the Correct Score bet, Betfred offer the tempting price of 13/8 for Portugal to win the match and to keep a clean sheet. The home side should have too much in the locker for the Swiss, and you can expect the Portuguese to make their home advantage tell in this game.
Best Bets: (90 Minutes)
- Cristiano Ronaldo to Score the First Goal at 5/2 with Black Type
- Under 2.5 Goals in the match at 17/20 with 888Sport
- Portugal 2-0 Switzerland Correct Score bet at 7/1 with SportingBet