Transfer Specials Round Up: January 2018 Window

Traditionally, the January transfer window is a fairly quiet time and certainly not as busy as it is in the summer. That’s the time when clubs formulate their squads for the upcoming season and when the winter window arrives, only some very minor tinkering takes place.

That could change in 2018 however as, for a number of sides, things aren’t going quite to plan. In Spain, Real Madrid are some way behind La Liga leaders Barcelona and may even be in danger of finishing outside of the Champions League places while in England, several sides are working out plans to overhaul Manchester City at the top.

At the same time, a number of players are out of contract in the summer so clubs have to decide whether to sell them now or risk letting them go at the end of the season on a ‘free’. It’s all resulted in plenty of speculation and a busy set of transfer betting markets which we’ll take a closer look at right now.

Gunners Under Attack

Alexis Sanchez

Two of the players who are potentially without a contract at the end of the season are the Arsenal duo of Mesut Ozil and Alexis Sanchez. It was no great secret that Manchester City coveted Sanchez in the summer and depending on what sources you read, a deal to take the Chilean to the Etihad was very close.

According to Paddy Power, Sanchez is now a 10/11 shot to sign for Manchester City before the winter window closes on February 3 or, you can get odds of 4/9 on the striker to still be at Arsenal. Other clubs are also listed by Paddy with Liverpool at 10/1 and Chelsea at 16/1 while a potential move overseas has Bayern Munich available at 12/1 and Real Madrid at 14/1.

Also under the spotlight is Sanchez’s German international team mate Ozil who has been linked with a move away from the Emirates for some time. The player is a 1/4 shot with William Hill to still be at Arsenal when the window closes but if you feel the player will be on the move, there are plenty of destinations quoted.

A switch to Manchester United is listed at 11/2 with Paddy Power while Barcelona and Inter Milan both come in at 6/1 with William Hill. For anyone who feels a return to Germany is on the cards, Hills have Bayern Munich down at 10/1 and Dortmund at 12/1.

Remember, those are all prices for a January move but Coral has an alternative for most players. In the case of Mesut Ozil, they simply list odds on his next club with no time limits so here we have Manchester United as favourites at 3/1, Barcelona at 4/1 and Manchester City at 7/1.

Delaying the Obvious?

Another transfer that seemed certain to go through last summer was Philippe Coutinho’s much-publicised switch from Liverpool to Barcelona. The Reds continued to decline reported fees in excess of 100 million euros but news reports claim that the deal is likely to resurface in January 2018.

This is a market where prices and options aren’t that exciting and it’s one of the only potential deals where a stay at the player’s present club isn’t the odds on favourite. William Hill have Coutinho at 2/1 to remain with Liverpool or 4/11 to make that switch to Barca before February 3. To emphasise the likelihood of that going through, no other clubs are listed although you can contact Hills and get odds for others on request.

Likely Deals

Vincent Janssen

There are scores of other options involving high profile players such as Harry Kane and Dele Alli at Spurs, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard, Gareth Bale of Real Madrid and even Bale’s club mate Cristiano Ronaldo. In each case, it seems very unlikely that any of those players will make a switch in January but we have taken a look through that extensive list of names and identified some potential.

Liverpool’s Danny Ings suffered a serious injury after making the switch from Burnley to Anfield but as he comes back to full fitness, the presence of the high scoring Mohamed Salah is blocking his way back into the side. A move away from the club could therefore be in the interests of both parties, particularly if it is a temporary one.

Check the terms of the bookmaker you are using but as a general rule, a loan move is enough to trigger a profit if you’ve made a correct call and for Danny Ings, this is a strong possibility with Liverpool seemingly keen to keep him at the club.

Newcastle are a side having issues in front of goal this season with Dwight Gayle in particular proving to be a disappointment on return to the top flight. The Magpies are 6/4 with Paddy Power to secure Ings’ signature in the January window and that’s a good option but we particularly like Paddy’s 25/1 on Ings to join Brighton and Hove Albion.

The Seagulls also need goals to stay in the top flight and having failed to take Tottenham’s Vincent Janssen on loan on the last day of the summer window, Chris Hughton could well be back in for a striker this month.

Straight Swap

Luke Shaw

Swap deals used to be quite common in football but with clubs reluctant to sell to direct rivals, they have become increasingly rare. However, there is definite potential for Spurs and Manchester United to make a trade this month and it involves two international left backs.

Tottenham’s Danny Rose made public criticism of the club’s wage structure and after those comments, it’s been widely tipped for the defender to join his former teammate Kyle Walker at Manchester City. Rose is available at 10/1 with Paddy Power to make that switch in this window while the same bookmaker has Manchester United at a shorter price of 15/8.

As a potential replacement, Spurs have been linked with United’s Luke Shaw for some time and Shaw to Tottenham is a 4/1 shot with Paddy Power once again. It’s worth pointing out that both players are odds on to stay with their current clubs but it could also be significant that Danny Rose was left out of Tottenham’s first starting XI of the season against Swansea City.

Manager Mauricio Pochettino will not tolerate discontent in the camp at this crucial stage of the season and if Rose is seen as a negative influence, it could spark this chain of events that leads to this suggested swap deal.

Transfer betting is far more common in the summer where a flurry of deals is almost certain but in January, it’s possible to obtain some better value. In the winter window of 2018, if the reports are to be believed, Philippe Coutinho to Barcelona seems almost certain so you could look for a profit based on the 4/11 quoted by Paddy Power.

Elsewhere, while we would not look to commit to huge stakes on any of these options, the following are our suggestions for players who seem most likely to be on the move.

Best Bets for Transfers by February 3rd, 2018:

  • Danny Ings to join Newcastle United at 6/4 with Paddy Power – alternatively…
  • Danny Ings to join Brighton and Hove Albion at 25/1 with Paddy Power
  • Luke Shaw to join Tottenham Hotspur at 4/1 with Paddy Power
  • Danny Rose to join Manchester United at 15/8 with Paddy Power
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