2017 The Everest Horse Race: Odds and Betting Preview
The horse racing calendar is full of great renewals and right across the world, we’re looking forward to some stellar events. Along with all of our old favourites such as the Melbourne Cup and the Boxing Day meetings in the UK, we have a new race to look forward to.
Not only that but the Everest is going to be the richest horse race in Australia with a total purse up for grabs at $10m dollars AUD. It’s an exciting development for racing in the country and for the sport as a whole so let’s take a look at the race and consider the runners and riders.
The first ever running of the Everest goes off this Saturday, October 14 and it will be held at the Randwick Racecourse in Sydney, NSW. It is a flat race for thoroughbreds based on a weight for age system and from this point will form part of the prestigious Sydney Spring Carnival.
The event is held over 1200 metres but entry is limited and is also at a premium. 12 horses will enter, having paid an entry fee of $600,000 for the privilege of taking part. Those are the basics so who’s in the frame for 2017?
Tight at the Top
Early prices show a very tight market with She Will Reign the current favourite at a best price of 4/1 with both Bet365 and 10Bet. The draw has placed this horse in barrier 2, which has been seen as a disadvantage but trainer Gary Portelli describes his charge as ‘sharp and ready’ and in shape to overcome a relatively minor hindrance.
Close behind the market leader is Vega Magic who is quoted at a top price of 5/1 with Sun Bets and Stan James. One point in this horse’s favour is victory in the Caulfield Cup at the start of September which completed a tally of five wins in seven outings on the flat.
Vega Magic is getting a lot of interest from the tipsters and clearly the market is not completely sure where this one will go. Completing a trio of horses with very similar prices is Chautauqua who is currently at a best of 6/1 with SkyBet. A veteran at 7 years old, this horse has won nearly 50% of its 25 races and has the experience if not the perfect record to back up those odds.
Things don’t really start to thin out beyond the top three with Redzel coming in at a best of 13/2 with Bet365 and 10Bet. This horse has four straight wins coming into this race and has a good record at Randwick but this may be seen as a step up.
Finally we now have a gap from the leading four horses and at a best of 10/1 with Stan James and 10Bet we have English, a Gai Waterhouse horse who has a good pedigree despite not being blessed with huge experience. English is a proven Group 1 winner at this important Weight for Age level and at that price of 10/1 she looks a good option for an each way punt at the very least.
Other mid price horses from the chasing pack include Clearly Innocent at 14/1 with SkyBet and 10Bet plus Deploy at a shorter best of 10/1 with Sun Bets. In a new race, we can’t really rule out any of those completely.
Picking a Winner
The fact that we have four horses within 2.5 points of each other at the top of the markets suggests that this is going to be very tough to call. Those figures may thin out in the days that follow but there won’t be much movement leading up to the off.
A new race means that we are moving into unknown territory to an extent so we don’t have any trends or indicators to help. However, form is a constant in any horse race and having tasted victory on the big stage at the Caulfield Cup, Vega Magic looks particularly good at that 5/1 price with Stan James and Sun Bets.
In fact, it would be no surprise to see that figure shorten slightly and leave us with at least two joint favourites when the Everest take place. Current market leader She Will Reign looks a worthy favourite right now but are those involved playing down her unfavourable draw?
It’s so tough to call but it’s certainly exciting having a new event on the calendar, particularly when it’s one of this magnitude. It’s one to savour and hopefully we might increase our enjoyment with one or two wins from the following tips.
- Vega Magic to win at 5/1 with Sun Bets
- English Each Way at 10/1 with Stan James