Monaco Grand Prix: 2018 Odds
After a slow start to the 2018 Formula One season, defending champion Lewis Hamilton is back on track after two straight wins that have taken the Mercedes man to the top of the Drivers’ Championship.
This weekend we are back in Monaco on the iconic street track and while it’s one that hasn’t always been productive for Hamilton in the past, will we see another procession with the Englishman at its head this time?
Our reigning champion may have found his form but it’s the earlier season leader, Sebastian Vettel, who starts as favourite to win the Monaco GP this weekend at odds of 7/4 with William Hill and Unibet.
Lewis Hamilton follows at 3/1 with William Hill before the field starts to drift. Vettel may have won the last two GPs but the Ferrari driver has been off the podium in the three races that followed so, as we saw in Spain last time out, it’s quite a strange market when you consider that the Mercedes driver has taken those two straight wins to establish a 17 point lead at the top of the Drivers’ Championship.
As usual, the bookmakers feel this is a straight battle between two drivers so we then see a gap between Hamilton and Vettel to our third favourite Daniel Ricciardo at best odds of 9/2 with Sky Bet and then shortly behind the Australian is Max Verstappen who can be picked up at a top price of 5/1 with Sky Bet again.
Ricciardo is the only man to have split the Hamilton – Vettel dominance so far this season with victory in China and throughout his short career the Australian has picked up some isolated wins. Elsewhere, it’s perhaps surprising to see Valtteri Bottas behind as fifth favourite at a distant 12/1 with Coral. The Finn – back up driver to Hamilton at Mercedes – has three second placed finishes in the last four races so may be more of a threat than those odds suggest.
Behind Bottas, Kimi Raikkonen is listed at best odds of 16/1 with SportingBet and then we get to the three figure options, headed by Fernando Alonso at a top price of 300/1 with Unibet. There are lots of drivers to work through but they are unlikely winners at best so we will move straight on and consider other bets for this race and for the F1 season as a whole.
Other Betting Options
Lewis Hamilton now has that 17 point lead at the top of the Drivers’ Championship and has reclaimed his place as favourite to win the title at 4/7 with BetFred. Vettel follows at 7/4 with Coral and William Hill and it would seem that the German is the only man left with a chance of catching our reigning champion.
Behind the two favourites, Valtteri Bottas is on offer at best odds of 28/1 with William Hill while Daniel Ricciardo follows on at a top price of 40/1 with Coral and ComeOn.
Betting for the Constructors’ Championship is even more clear cut with Mercedes way ahead at best odds of 8/15 with 10Bet while Ferrari remain relatively close at a top price of 10/3 with 10Bet again. While Hamilton is back on the winners’ rostrum, Bottas has been contributing with some solid podium finishes so while the market is fairly tight, it’s almost impossible to look beyond Mercedes here.
Coming back to the action in Monaco this weekend and we have the usual assortment of side bets available for the sixth Grand Prix of the season. We’ll start with Pole Position options where Sebastian Vettel is the favourite to start at the front of the grid at best odds of 13/8 with Unibet.
Lewis Hamilton is behind at 14/5 with ComeOn and while the Englishman claimed this market in Spain last time out, he has two poles as opposed to Vettel’s three at this stage of the season so perhaps those prices shouldn’t be surprising.
Other options for Pole Position betting include Daniel Ricciardo and Max Verstappen who are both at 7/2 with Unibet.
Moving across to the Fastest Lap betting and this could be more open when we look at results from 2018 so far. In five races to date, neither Hamilton nor Vettel has claimed a fastest lap while anyone taking a bet in this market would have seen the profits shared between Valtteri Bottas and Daniel Ricciardo.
For Monaco this weekend, Sebastian Vettel starts as favourite to return the fastest lap despite those trends and the Ferrari man is available at best odds of 5/2 with BetFred while Lewis Hamilton follows in second place at a top price of 11/4 with Boylesports.
Clearly there could be some value in this market and we can consider joint third favourites Daniel Ricciardo and Max Verstappen at 4/1 with Boylesports while it may be a little surprising to see Valtteri Bottas out at 8/1 with Unibet. Obviously the unique nature of this Monaco track means that previous results aren’t such a strong indicator of future trends so let’s see what has happened here in the past while we consider our verdict.
Back in 2017 the Monaco Grand Prix was won by Sebastian Vettel with Kimi Raikkonen in second and Daniel Ricciardo in third. Raikkonen had taken Pole Position while the fastest lap came from an unlikely source in Mexico’s Sergio Perez in the Force India.
Lewis Hamilton finished way down in seventh place last year and he’s only won this race twice – in 2008 and 2017. Vettel has also won this race on two occasions and the most dominant driver in recent years was the now-retired Nico Rosberg who recorded three straight victories from 2013 to 2015.
On the tight streets of Monaco, it is tough for a driver to be shifted when they get in front so Pole Position can be key along with, of course, some crucially timed pit stops. As for the weather, we’re expecting a little cloud cover but no rain is forecast for qualifying or for race day itself on Sunday May 27.
Our Drivers’ Championship leader looks set for another successful campaign and while we don’t like to side with obvious punts, trends show that when Lewis Hamilton is on a run of wins it’s tough for other drivers to gain any success.
At 3/1 on a Hamilton victory, that is a good price and while Vettel starts as favourite, the Ferrari driver has dipped after two opening wins and needs to respond quickly. In other markets, Valtteri Bottas for a podium finish is another generous option at 6/4 with BetFred on what we hope will be an exciting and thrilling weekend of Formula One action.
Best Bets for Monaco Grand Prix 2018
- Lewis Hamilton to win at 3/1 with William Hill
- Valtteri Bottas for a Podium Finish at 6/4 with BetFred