Gennady Golovkin v Saul Alvarez Betting Preview

Back in September, these two great fighters stepped into the ring to battle it out for unified middleweight titles. The bout was billed as ‘Supremacy’ but neither Gennady Golovkin nor Saul Alvarez dominated the night with the fight ending in a contentious draw.

In May, both men have the chance to put that behind them in a much-anticipated rematch which is set to be one of the most notable sporting events of 2018 so far. There’s plenty at stake and naturally it’s also going to be a big night for the boxing community too.

Match Odds

Gennady Golovkin

Before we get into the backstory to this fight, let’s get straight on and consider the odds in the outright result betting. As he did 12 months ago, Golovkin starts as favourite for the win and the Kazakhstan fighter is available at best odds of 8/13 with MarathonBet. The same bookmaker has the top price on Mexico’s Alvarez at 29/18 while there will be plenty of interest in the draw after that split decision in Las Vegas last time out.

This time around, the draw is on offer at a best of 22/1 with Sun Bets and Unibet but will it be tight once again or will one man dominate once the two pugilists step into the ring?

Background

This is a middleweight title fight which, assuming we get a winner, will unify the WBA, WBC, IBO and IBF World Titles plus the Ring Magazine and lineal awards. There’s plenty at stake therefore for two men who have been exemplary in their careers so far.

Alvarez is the younger man at 27 but he actually has more experience in the ring with 52 professional fights. In that time, the Mexican has secured 49 wins with two draws and one solitary defeat. At 35, Golovkin may be nearing the end of his career but he has a marginally better record and has yet to taste defeat in his many years as a professional. Last September’s draw was, in fact, the only blemish on a record that has seen 37 wins, 33 of which have been by knockout.

While emerging as two of the best boxers in their division, talks of a showdown between Golovkin and Alvarez first started to emerge in 2015 when the Mexican overcame Miguel Cotto. At the time, it was decided that interim matches should take place in order that media interest could build into something of a frenzy.

Finally, the two men headed to Las Vegas last September with Golovkin expected to take the spoils but, after the fight went the distance, a draw was the end result despite most pundits declaring that the Kazakh had won a close contest. It was a controversial end to a fascinating battle and a rematch was therefore inevitable.

Other Betting Options

Aside from the straight win there are, of course, a number of side bets that can be placed on this fight with Method of Victory likely to among the most popular. Considering that Golovkin has won 33 of his pro fights by knockout, there will be plenty of interest in the Kazakh to win by KO or TKO and this method can be backed at best odds of 25/14 with MarathonBet. That option also covers the potential disqualification of Alvarez so it encompasses plenty of options and anyone looking to get behind the favourite should be considering that price.

For Alvarez to win by any of those three methods, the top price shoots right out to 8/1 with William Hill and 10Bet. Clearly for the Mexican to win, the bookies feel it will have to be by decision or technical decision and this is an option listed at best odds of 27/11 with MarathonBet once again.

Then, if you feel that the fight won’t go the distance, you can bet on which round you think it will finish. Either man to win the bout on points is available at best odds of 5/2 with SkyBet while naming individual rounds for Golovkin will generally see odds of around 20/1 for each bet and for Alvarez, those numbers drift out to 50/1 and higher.

Verdict

We now head to London’s O2 Arena for this May 5 rematch and with David Haye vs Tony Bellew also on the bill, it’s going to be a huge night for Boxing fans. As for Alvarez v Golovkin, it’s hard to argue with the theory that the Kazakh fighter was the best boxer in Las Vegas and the card from one judge, showing a 118-110 result in favour of the Mexican, was bizarre to say the least.

Clearly the bookmakers expect Golovkin to come back and finish the job but we can, at least, all agree that Alvarez is a tough opponent. 2017 brought plenty of shock outcomes in the world of boxing and we just feel that this story has another twist. In another tight battle, Saul Alvarez has the game and the quality to overcome a fearsome but ageing opponent and he also carries an excellent price as the outside bet.

Best Bet

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