Fedor Emelianenko vs Frank Mir: Odds and Betting Preview

Ever since this huge showdown was confirmed back in January, fight fans have been looking ahead to what could be one of the most thrilling MMA match-ups across the whole of 2018. As part of Bellator 196, Emelianenko vs Mir has been arguably the most highly anticipated battle of the year so far.

Naturally, as with all big MMA duels these days, there is a busy betting market to consider so let’s take a look at these two impressive fighters along with the odds for this fight, which takes place at the Allstate Arena in Rosemont Illinois on April 28.

The Contenders

Fedor Emelianenko

The ultimate goal of the Bellator Series is to find a new heavyweight world champion. This is the third fight in the current series and probably the most intriguing with two very experienced opponents entering the ring.

At the age of 41, Emelianenko is very much a veteran but has only been involved on the MMA circuit since 2015 after a highly successful career in the world of judo. The Russian’s record in his new discipline is an impressive one however and as he prepares for this April showdown, his MMA record currently stands at 36 wins, five losses and one draw from 42 overall fights. In amongst those wins are ten by knockout.

Emelianenko comes up against Frank Mir who, at the age of 38, also has vast experience of professional sport. The American has been active since 2001 but a serious motorcycle injury curtailed his activities in the UFC arena. As far as the MMA division is concerned, Mir has been involved in 29 professional fights, winning 18 and losing 11 so it’s a very mixed record as he prepares to face Emelianenko.

Those are the fighters but who, according to the bookmakers, is going to succeed?

Outright Markets

The Russian may have the better record in terms of MMA fights but the bookmakers have very much gone for the younger man here with Frank Mir favourite to take the win at best odds of 13/19 with MarathonBet. That’s a short figure that leaves Emelianenko some way back at a top price of 11/8 with a choice of bookmakers including BetFred and Coral.

But clearly it’s not just age that has determined these markets and there are lots of other factors that the odds setters would have taken into account before determining their favourite. The percentages may show that the Russian fighter has a better overall record with more wins and far fewer defeats but the pundits feel that he has yet to fight, or certainly defeat anyone of real quality.

In contrast, Frank Mir has seen a much tougher road unfold on his way to the Bellator series and pound for pound, he is the better fighter with a stronger pedigree, despite those defeats. The bookmakers see it that way too so, if you are in agreement, by all means take a small profit on Mir to win at that 13/19 price.

Other Options

Frank Mir

At the time of writing, we have more than two months to wait before these two MMA fighters step into the ring and at the moment, the choice of available betting markets is relatively small. That situation may well change in the weeks that lie ahead but away from the straight result, the only other option is for Total Rounds and based on the prices that we are seeing, the bookies that have got involved with this one believe that it’s going to be a very quick process.

Currently, MarathonBet have the best price on over 1.5 rounds at 52/35 but for anyone looking to bet under that line, the figure drops dramatically to best odds of 8/13 with either Betway or 188Bet.

With a combined age of 79, it may well be that neither man wants this one to last long but the figures are based on history rather than the advancing years of the two men that are involved. Ten of Emelianenko’s wins have been by early knockout as we’ve mentioned and there is a history of the Russian fighter getting things over with quickly, irrespective of whether the result is a positive or a negative one.

As for Frank Mir, he has delivered five knockout victories while suffering eight KOs in his overall list of defeats. Based on stats and the nature of these two fighters, the bookmakers expect this to be an intense contest and once again, if you believe that the odds setters have called it correctly, you can claim that small profit for under 1.5 rounds at a short odds on figure.

The Verdict

This may be a tougher fight to call than the odds suggest and when you put those two records side by side, you might have expected the win price on Fedor Emelianenko to be a little shorter. The Russian has the technique and capability to beat Frank Mir but will age be a factor here?

There is only three years between the two men but at 41, Emelianenko is fast coming towards the end of a career that has covered a number of disciplines. We certainly think it will be fast; both men may lack the stamina for a long bout and will want it dealt with quickly.

Overall, it’s a tricky prediction but it is tough to argue with the shorter prices on both markets that are currently available.

Best Bets:

  • Frank Mir to win at 13/19 with MarathonBet
  • Under 1.5 Rounds at 8/13 with Betway
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