F1 United States Grand Prix: Betting and Odds Preview

formula 1A year ago, Lewis Hamilton secured his fourth Formula One Drivers’ Championship with victory at the United States Grand Prix and on Sunday, it could happen all over again. Victory in Japan last time out was the fourth in succession for the Mercedes number one and if results go his way in Texas, Hamilton will be crowned for a fifth time.

Along with the race betting, we’ve the usual range of side markets to consider so let’s get straight on and see if we can pick some winners this weekend.

Out in Front

In recent weeks, race result betting has been tight between Hamilton and Vettel but after those four straight wins, the Englishman becomes an odds on option to take the chequered flag in the US at best odds of 8/13 with William Hill. A gap then appears to his German rival at 13/4 with Unibet and 888Sport before the rest of the field starts to drift out.

The chasing pack is led by Valtteri Bottas at 15/2 with Coral and 10Bet, followed by Kimi Raikkonen at a top price of 16/1 with William Hill and SportPesa and Max Verstappen at that same 16/1 with 188Bet and Royal Panda.

Just about in contention are Daniel Ricciardo who is quoted at best odds of 22/1 with William Hill and SportPesa and then we get to the list of 1000/1 also rans, led by Esteban Ocon, Romain Grosjean and Sergio Perez.

Although we’ve not quite closed out the season, the outright drivers and constructors markets seem to have now disappeared so, if you’ve been ignoring our advice to get on the favourites, it looks as though you’ve now missed your chance. However, there are plenty of side bets for the United States this week so let’s see if we can make a decent profit from those.

Other Betting Options

Lewis Hamilton

Lewis Hamilton

Lewis Hamilton is starting to dominate in terms of pole positions too and the Mercedes number one has started at the front of the grid in four of the previous six Grand Prix. For the United States this weekend, Hamilton goes off as a short favourite at best odds of 11/17 with SportingBet while Vettel follows at a top price of 4/1 with SportingBet again.

Valtteri Bottas has picked up two poles this year and you can claim the Finn at a best of 17/2 with Royal Panda while his compatriot Kimi Raikkonen leads a distant chasing pack at 17/1 with 10Bet and SportPesa. Completing the list of fastest qualifiers are Max Verstappen and Daniel Ricciardo who can both be picked up at 18/1 with William Hill and Betway.

The fastest lap betting has been far less predictable and while Sebastian Vettel claimed this particular market in Japan last time out, neither he nor Lewis Hamilton has really taken a grip of it. We even had a rank outsider in Kevin Magnussen coming through in Singapore and while that proved to be something of an anomaly, this market has been harder to predict.

It does mean, of course, that we could land a bigger profit but it’s Hamilton who starts as favourite once again at best odds of 9/4 with William Hill. Valtteri Bottas slots in as second favourite at a top price of 9/2 while Sebastian Vettel follows at a best of 5/1 – both with William Hill once again.

If you are looking to back Kevin Magnussen for a repeat of his achievement in Singapore then you can get the Dane at best odds of 66/1 with William Hill while Verstappen and Ricciardo are at 6/1 and Raikkonen at 12/1 – all with SportingBet.

Verdict

Sebastian Vettel

Sebastian Vettel

While the venue for this race has changed on a number of occasions, the Circuit of the Americas in Elroy, Texas has been a permanent home since 2012. Last year, Lewis Hamilton won it after starting on pole while Sebastian Vettel returned the fastest lap in the Ferrari.

In terms of overall success in the United States Grand Prix, Lewis Hamilton holds the record with six wins and the bad news keeps on coming for the rest of the field. The Mercedes driver has won here in each of the last four editions from 2014 through to 2017.

Last season, the battle for the Drivers’ Championship was fairly even but as the campaign developed, Lewis Hamilton started to dominate and it was only when the title was won that his performances started to tail off.

The very same pattern seems to be in place this year and when you take that run of four wins from six, coupled with the record of four straight successes at the US Grand Prix, it seems that Hamilton only needs to stay in his car in order to take the Chequered Flag.

At those short odds on numbers, there seems little point in backing Lewis Hamilton but feel free if you like modest profits as he seems certain to win it. A Fastest Lap for Hamilton does look better at 9/2 and while he has more competition in this respect, it could be time to open up the throttle with the title beckoning.

Elsewhere, in a race where value might be hard to find, the durable Kimi Raikkonen looks a decent best price of 9/4 with SportingBet for a Podium Finish.

Best Bets for United States Grand Prix 2018:

  • Lewis Hamilton to record the Fastest Lap at 9/2 with William Hill
  • Kimi Raikkonen for a Top Three Finish at 9/4 with SportingBet
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