F1 Brazilian GP 2018: Odds and Betting Preview

formula 1The Drivers’ Championship may be over for another season but as Lewis Hamilton celebrates a fifth success, there are two remaining Grand Prix to fight over. The Constructors’ Championship is also open and although it might take a near miracle for Ferrari to overhaul Mercedes, there is plenty to enjoy as we come to the climax of the 2018 season.

This weekend we’re off to Brazil but can Hamilton close out the campaign in style or will the Englishman coast through the final stages?

Race Favourites

Sebastian Vettel

Sebastian Vettel

As we’ve seen for a number of races across the season, Sebastian Vettel starts as favourite to win the Brazilian Grand Prix and punters can pick up the German at odds of 7/4 with William Hill and 188Bet.

Lewis Hamilton follows at a top price of 9/4 with SportingBet and then we have a gap to his Mercedes teammate Valtteri Bottas at a best of 6/1 with Betway and 888Sport. Kimi Raikkonen is at 7/1 with Betway and then we come to our winner last time out – Max Verstappen – and he can be claimed at best odds of 8/1 with William Hill and 188Bet.

Completing the ‘big six’ is Daniel Ricciardo who can be picked up at a top price of 14/1 with Betway and SportingBet. We then come to the ‘also rans’ led by Carlos Sainz and Nico Hulkenberg who are both at 750/1 with Ladbrokes and Coral.

We’re unlikely to uncover a winner from so far back so we’ll move on now to alternative betting options.

Side Bets for Brazil

Lewis Hamilton

Lewis Hamilton

The Constructors’ Championship is just about alive but with Mercedes enjoying a 55 point lead over Ferrari going into Brazil, we were unable to find a bookmaker who was prepared to quote outright odds.

Therefore, it’s all about this one race and we’ll start the side betting with the Pole Position market. Prices are still coming in for this particular bet but the early numbers show Sebastian Vettel as favourite at best odds of 5/4 with BetFred while the same bookie has Lewis Hamilton available at a top price of 11/8.

Moving out, Valtteri Bottas is at 8/1 with Unibet, ahead of Kimi Raikkonen at 10/1 with Betway. Max Verstappen at 14/1 with 188Bet and Daniel Ricciardo at 16/1 with BetFred complete our list of likely options.

While Lewis Hamilton had started to dominate Pole in the second half of the campaign, Daniel Ricciardo started at the front of the grid in Mexico last time out so this market could be wide open for Brazil.

Kimi Raikonnen

The Fastest Lap option has been less predictable since the start of 2018 and the honours here went to Valtteri Bottas in Mexico two weeks ago. For Brazil this weekend, Vettel is favourite yet again at best odds of 11/4 with SportingBet and Ladbrokes, followed by Hamilton at a top price of 3/1 with William Hill and BetFred.

Daniel Ricciardo is installed as third favourite at a best of 11/2 with SportingBet and then we come to Bottas at that same best price of 11/2 with BetFred, plus Verstappen at 6/1 with William Hill and Raikkonen at 12/1 with William Hill again.

The profits here have been shared around since Australia back in March and we’ve even seen Kevin Magnussen return a fastest lap. That was, however, on the Singapore street circuit and the odds setters are giving the Dane little chance in Brazil at 100/1 with 888Sport and Royal Panda.

Those are our main markets so let’s see if we can pick out some winners.

Verdict

Valtteri Bottas

Valtteri Bottas

The 2017 edition of the Brazilian Grand Prix was won by Sebastian Vettel after Valtteri Bottas had started in Pole Position. The fastest lap was recorded by Max Verstappen and having already claimed the Drivers’ title, Lewis Hamilton was off the podium last year.

Vettel’s success was his third Brazilian GP win while Hamilton has one solitary victory here in 2016. Taking all of those numbers into account, it’s perhaps understandable that Ferrari’s German driver is favourite for a fourth win this weekend.

There is also the possibility that the end of the 2018 campaign will mirror the closing stages last year when Lewis Hamilton appeared to take his foot off the throttle after securing the Drivers’ Championship. Taking all of the stats and trends into account, we’re going for Vettel to win here and even though he is the favourite, odds of 7/4 represent decent value.

The Fastest Lap market is as open as ever and while it’s tougher to call, this is where the real value could lie for Brazil. Any of the Top Six have a real claim here but having won the Grand Prix in Mexico last time out, there is momentum behind Max Verstappen and at the very least he will have licence to open the throttle and hopefully deliver another profit. The Dutchman went round quickest here last year and has two fastest laps this season so it’s a strong tip with which to end this preview.

Best Bets for Brazilian Grand Prix 2018:

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