England v Lithuania: First True Test for Southgate’s New England

England v Lithuania

They may have impressed with a young side during a plucky defeat to the Germans in midweek but on Sunday, it’s down to serious business with a World Cup qualifying tie against Lithuania. New manager Gareth Southgate took the positives from the Germany game but a loss is a loss and his side need to keep picking up the points in their quest for Russia 2018.

Despite all the issues with changing managers, England are unbeaten as they come into this game and naturally start as favourites here.

Match Odds

Ahead of Sunday’s game, you can back England to take all three points at a best price of 2/15 with Betway. That’s an indicator of the gulf in class between the two sides as Lithuania can be backed at a best of 33/1 with MarathonBet and the draw comes in at a top price of 44/5 with MarathonBet once again.

It may be worth noting that in four Group F games so far, Lithuania have only been beaten once, although that fixture saw a heavy defeat away to Slovakia. England have injuries it’s true but if the bookies are to be believed, this match could be a formality.

Individual Goal Scorers

If you’re siding with England but want a little more value from your bet, then you could start by crossing over to the first goal scorer betting where England’s Jamie Vardy is favourite to open the scoring at best odds of 7/2 with Bet365. With Harry Kane injured and Wayne Rooney not in the squad, Leicester’s Vardy is England’s main striker and having returned to form at club level, this isn’t a bad option.

Jermain Defoe is next on the list at a best of 19/5 with 10Bet but the Sunderland man isn’t a guaranteed starter. He should feature at some point and his own club form suggests that a best at 10/11 for a Defoe anytime goal should be our first tip.

Other good options in the anytime betting include Dele Alli who has 17 goals from midfield for Spurs this season and is on offer at best odds of 27/20 with Winner Sports.

For Lithuania, FiodorCernych is their leading scorer in qualifying with three goals so far and if you think that the visitors will find the net, the 25 year old is listed at a tempting 17/2 with 32Red to do this in 90 minutes.

Other Side Bets

It’s not often that we would pick two men in the anytime markets but we think there will be goals here, even without Kane and Rooney in the England squad. Lithuania’s 4-0 defeat to Slovakia last time out shows that they can be vulnerable when they come up against quality opposition. England themselves have scored six without conceding and while that’s across four games, they should increase their goal difference in this match.

With that in mind, we’re going to back over the 3.5 goal line for this fixture and it’s a bet that will currently give a return at industry best odds of 69/50 with MarathonBet. You could play a little safer and take a top price of 8/15 with SportingBet on over 2.5 goals but we expect a few strikes from the home side in this one.

Finally, if you want a long shot, England to win 4-0 in the correct score betting is listed currently at a best price of 15/2 with Paddy Power.

England really should win it so it’s all about finding better value for this one. Some will point to the absence of Kane and Rooney plus the fact that Southgate’s men have only scored at an average of 1.5 per game in qualifying so far and suggest this will be low scoring. However, we think that Lithuania will be vulnerable at a packed Wembley and our tips for this tie reflect that.

Best Bets

  • Jermain Defoe to score anytime at 10/11 with Bet365
  • Dele Alli to score anytime at 27/20 with Winner Sports
  • Over 3.5 goals at 69/50 with MarathonBet
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