England v Colombia: Opportunity Knocks for Both Teams in Huge Encounter
The final game in the last 16 of the 2018 Russia World Cup sees England take on Colombia in Moscow on Tuesday evening – kick-off: 19:00 GMT.
Following England’s most recent performance that ended in a 1-0 defeat to Belgium last Thursday, Gareth Southgate will ring the changes once again to bring in his most preferred team against the dangerous South American outfit.
Colombia have major injury concerns surrounding key man, James Rodriguez, who will be given treatment up till the final minutes before kick-off to prove his fitness. Colombia are far from a one-man team however, with the likes of Radamel Falcao and Juan Quintero offering a major threat to England’s back-line.
It is a major opportunity for one of these teams to make a real push for the World Cup final following Spain’s recent exit at the hands of host nation Russia on Sunday afternoon. The team who progresses from this highly important fixture can hope to go very far in the tournament with some of the more illustrious nations already on their way home.
Despite the setback against Belgium, the Three Lions are firm favourites with the bookmakers to continue their progression into the Quarter-Finals of the World Cup. England are best priced 23/20 with Black Type to beat Colombia in ninety minutes. The Draw is the next favoured option at 23/10 with Betfred, while a win for Jose Pekerman’s side can be taken with Unibet at the best industry price of 13/4.
Colombia can equal their best performance of a Quarter-Final berth from 2014 with victory over England, but they face a difficult task against Southgate’s youthful, exuberant team. In Harry Kane, England has one of the deadliest strikers in world football, and the current leading scorer in this World Cup will be expecting to add to his tally here.
Kane’s battle with his Tottenham team-mate, and Colombian centre-back Davinson Sanchez will be a hotly contested affair and it could determine who ultimately prevails.
I expect this game to be tense and very tight and, on that proviso, the Draw in 90 minutes could be the selection to be on in the result market at 23/10 with Betfred. The pressure is on for both teams, and that could play into our hands here.
Individual Goal Scorers
Unsurprisingly, Harry Kane is the market leader to score the opening goal in this game. Betfred has the England captain as their 5/2 favourite, however, MarathonBet has much more rewarding odds of 17/5 on Kane to hit his sixth goal in this World Cup. After being rested for the Belgium game, Kane will be fully refreshed and firing on all cylinders as England will hope their talisman can bag the goals for the Three Lions to progress.
Kane’s opposing ‘number nine’ is Radamel Falcao who is a 13/2 chance – again with MarathonBet to score first. Falcao has already found the net in the tournament with a very-well taken goal in the 3-0 Group H win over Poland. The Monaco striker is an obvious threat to the England defence, and is reasonable value to score the opening goal.
Others worthy of mentioning include Manchester United’s Jesse Lingard – generally available 15/2 chance – who has a habit of scoring important goals. James Rodriguez at 9/1 with Boylesports is also a strong runner in this market if he can shake off injury concerns, while Colombia’s Yerry Mina is currently their top scorer with two headed goals from set-pieces is also worthy of mentioning at 25/1 with 10Bet.
As a rank-outsider, Kieran Trippier could be worth a small investment at 50/1 with William Hill as the Tottenham full-back is a regular free-kick taker for England, who could spring a big-priced surprise.
Other Side Bets
England are best priced 5/9 with 888Sport and Unibet to qualify for the next stage of the tournament, while Colombia can be taken at 48/29 with 188 BET in the same market. While England would be my choice to win the tie, the value is not feasible enough to be worthy of betting upon.
Both Teams to Score is available at best odds of 13/10 with 10Bet in what looks to be a solid punting option. England will be back to full strength for this game and can breach the Colombian rear-guard, while the English defence is not the most water-tight, and that offers real hope for the South Americans. A shade of odds-against is reasonable value in a World Cup tournament full of goals and attacking intent.
Our final selection for this game is a Correct Score bet of 1-1 at a top price of 23/4 with SportingBet. We expect both teams to attack from the outset of this game, but the contest could turn into a cagey affair as extra-time looms.
- Both Teams to Score at 13/10 with 10Bet
- Draw Full-Time result at 23/10 with Betfred
- 1-1 Correct Score bet at 23/4 with SportingBet