Derby market dominated by outstanding Dawn Approach
As the clock ticks down to the Investec Derby at Epsom on June 1 the recent tremendously impressive Qipco 2000 Guineas winner Dawn Approach continues to dominate the UK horse racing betting sites for the blue riband classic contest.
Currently a rock solid 7/4 favourite in the racing odds with the likes of Paddy Power to follow in the hoofprints of Aidan O’Brien’s Camelot who easily landed the Derby 12 months ago having only just scraped home in the 2000 Guineas a few weeks earlier, Jim Bolger’s unbeaten colt blew his rivals apart on the Rowley Mile dispelling any fears that he might not be as good at three years as he was when unbeaten in all six outings as a juvenile last season.
Once he met the rising ground and found full stride, the son of 2008 Derby winner New Approach lengthened in tremendously impressive fashion, quickly putting his main market rival Toronado to the sword before pulling clear to score by five lengths from Kevin Ryan’s 150/1 shot Glory Awaits, with Tornado’s lesser fancied stable companion Van Der Neer just getting up to beat him in a battle for third spot.
There’s little doubt that Toronado failed to show his true form, but it is highly unlikely that even at his best he would have lowered Dawn Approach’s colours. Bolger appears to have every confidence that his stable star – part-owned now by Sheikh Mohammed – will have the class to get home over the extra half mile at Epsom, and although many punters might baulk at betting at 7/4 in a classic race, it could just transpire that such a price is excellent value given the paucity of Group 1 credentials on offer from his likely opponents.
Unless we see a spectacular performance from something in the last few remaining Derby trials, this correspondent believes that Dawn Approach might well be sent off at odds-on on the big day, making his current price seem excellent value.