Cheltenham Gold Cup Odds and Betting Preview
The showpiece event of the four day Cheltenham Festival takes place on Friday with the Gold Cup the most sought after trophy in National Hunt Racing – alongside the Grand National of Course. A large field has been declared but in the lead up to the big day, we have a clear favourite.
Lexus Chase, 28-12-13 – Bobs Worth
Bobs Worth is available at odds of 7/4 with Bet365 and having won the event just 12 months ago, Nicky Henderson’s horse knows what it takes to win this most demanding of races. Bobs Worth is in form too, having won at Leopardstown at the end of December and is definitely the one to beat in the lead up to the off.
It is very difficult to achieve back to back Gold Cup victories and nobody has claimed this feat since Best Mate completed a hat trick of wins back in 2004. However, if you are looking for omens, Bobs Worth has never been beaten at Cheltenham.
Bobs Worth’s main challenger is Silviniaco Conti who was well placed in this event in 2013 before falling at the third from last. This is another horse who is warming up nicely ahead of the race and a win in the King George VI at Kempton on Boxing Day is a good indication of how he can chase down the favourite.
After the two short priced horses, there is a considerable gap in the market until Last Instalment drops in at 8/1 with BetFred. This really is the form horse in the field having won the Hennessy Gold Cup only last month – coming in at those same odds of 8/1 in the process.
Elsewhere, there is a lot of interest in Captain Chris who also has a February victory coming into this race. The horse won the Betfair Ascot Chase last time out and although the Gold Cup offers a bigger challenge among a far stronger field, Captain Chris looks to be an excellent place option at 14/1 with Winner Sports. Update: Captain Chris misses Friday’s race
Captain Chris eased out Cloudy Too to claim that win and if you want an outside punt, Cloudy Too at 66/1 with Winner Sports is another Each Way option.
Looking at the trends for this race and we see that over the past ten years, all ten winners have been aged between five and eight years old. That’s not the most helpful of stats considering that the vast majority of horses fall within that range so what else can we learn?
Like most races at the Festival, this isn’t one for the outsiders with nine of out of the last ten winners priced at 9/1 or lower. Currently, only three horses are quoted below that figure suggesting that it’s a straight fight between Silviniaco Conti, Last Instalment and the favourite Bobs Worth.
That’s a far more telling fact: Yes we have seen some amazing wins over the years including the 100/1 Norton’s Coin in 1990 but if the top three stay on their feet, it’s hard to look beyond them.
We know that 2013 Champion Bobs Worth has the capability to win this event and while two straight victories are becoming rare, you can’t ignore the fact that he hasn’t lost on this course. However, Silviniaco Conti has been extremely impressive in its most recent outings and while this is the hardest race to call, we are edging towards the second favourite to be crowned Gold Cup winner of 2014.