Chelsea v Liverpool: Blues Hope for Double Victory Over League Leaders

Attention! Actual odds referenced are correct at time of publishing at 9:22 am September 27, 2018 and are subject to change.

Liverpool led through an acrobatic Daniel Sturridge finish after an hour in their Carabao Cup clash with Chelsea on Wednesday night. Emerson drew the visitor’s level from close range, but star winger, Eden Hazard stole the show and took Chelsea to the next round with a scintillating run and shot into the Liverpool penalty area to silence Anfield.

The most important thing to take away from the result is that it will have no bearing whatsoever on Saturday evening’s Premier League clash at Stamford Bridge – kick-off: 17:30 GMT. Several changes will be made by both teams as third plays first in the undoubted standout fixture of the weekend.

Match Odds

Following the result on Wednesday evening, there has been some movement in the Win Market, with Jurgen Klopp’s side somewhat unsurprisingly on the drift. The Reds can now be backed at the best industry price at the time of writing of 17/11 with SportPesa and 10Bet.

Consequently, Chelsea’s odds have contracted into 37/19 with Unibet, while the Draw can be taken with 188Bet at 45/17.

Since 2008 in all competitions at Stamford Bridge between the two teams, Chelsea have five wins, Liverpool has six victories, while a further six games ended in stalemate. Those statistics suggest that the Merseysiders have done better than most against one of the leading teams in the Premier League in the last decade.

At the prices, the Draw looks to be the play here. 188 Bet’s offer of 45/17 is worth chancing in a contest where I believe both teams may be contented to settle for one point each.

Individual Goal Scorers

Mohamed Salah

Mohamed Salah

Liverpool’s feared attacking triumvirate of Mohamed Salah, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane are likely to be unleashed at Stamford Bridge, in spite of Daniel Sturridge’s second half goal during the week.

Salah is best priced 9/2 with BetBright to open the scoring, while Firmino is a 7/1 shot – again with BetBright. For some reason, Senegalese forward Mane is often overpriced with the bookmakers in relation to his striking team mates, and he is once again the outsider of the trio at 15/2 – once more with BetBright.

Belgian superstar Hazard is Chelsea’s first entry into the First Goalscorer betting at 6/1 with Boylesports and BetBright. Hazard is in imperious form, but his skills from the penalty spot enhance his chances in this betting market.

Others to consider include Pedro, who has seen somewhat of a renaissance at Stamford Bridge under new boss Maurizio Sarri. The Spaniard has already hit three Premier League goals so far this season, and can be backed at 9/1 with Boylesports.

Two others at bigger odds would be Chelsea’s Marcos Alonso and Liverpool’s James Milner. The pair are capable of scoring key goals in big games and are of interest at 16/1 and 18/1 respectively.

Other Side Bets

Considering the wealth of attacking talent on show in Saturday nights’ game, you may expect plenty of goals to be scored. That could well happen, but my preference is to get on the UNDER in the Over / Under 2.5 goals market. MarathonBet offer the best industry odds of 33/25 on no more than two goals in the game.

My suggestion is that this game will be a closely contested affair as both teams have conceded just six goals combined in the pair’s twelve previous games so far this season.

Our Correct Score offering for this game is a 1-1 draw at full-time. It is a little obvious to tip up the shortest correct score outcome in the betting market, but it is still 6/1 with Ladbrokes, so it is still decent value.

Our final bet selections for this fixture is for both Chelsea and Liverpool to be leading the game at half-time, but for the full-time result to end in a draw. William Hill offer 14/1 for both outcomes, but I suggest you split stakes to back both possibilities, which would still be a 13/2 chance, and that represents some good value.

Best Bets:

  • Chelsea v Liverpool Full-time result to be Draw at 45/17 with 188BET
  • Full Time result of 1-1 at 6/1 with Ladbrokes
  • Chelsea half time / Draw full time at 14/1 with William Hill and Liverpool half time / Draw full time at 14/1 with William Hill. Split stakes to reduce odds to 13/2 on both outcomes.
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