Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid: Champions League Betting Preview
It’s déjà vu all over again as these two sides prepare to meet on May 28 – an exact repeat of the 2014 final. Two years ago, Real eventually came through after snatching a last gasp equaliser so let’s hope that the 2016 repeat carries as much drama and entertainment.
Two giants of Spanish football – cross city rivals – face off and although they were closely matched in the final La Liga placings, it’s Real Madrid who lead the betting at bet365’s odds of 2.40. The same bookmaker rates Atletico’s chances at 3.10 while the draw in 90 minutes is also at 3.10.
Remember, those are the figures at the end of normal time: if you think that Real will lift the trophy, irrespective of whether extra time and penalties are needed, that price drops to 1.75 with bet365 while Atleti are at 2.05 for the same bet.
We know that the 2014 final ended 1-1 after 90 minutes before Real breezed through the extra period and eventually won 4-1. Many of the same players on show will contest the 2016 repeat so it could be close again – in 90 minutes at least.
But what about the recent 2015-16 La Liga campaign? Ultimately, it was won by Barcelona while Real finished second – just one place and two points ahead of Diego Simeone’s Atletico. Meanwhile, head to head stats are very interesting with a 1-1 draw and a 1-0 away win for Atletico Madrid at the Bernabeu.
This really has the potential to be very tight once again: it promises to be cagey with neither team wanting to give anything away and another draw on 90 minutes looks a great bet at that 3.10 bet365 price.
Individual goal scorer betting will attract a lot of interest for this final: You might expect Real to dominate the market but while the favourite is an obvious one, that isn’t necessarily the case.
Cristiano Ronaldo scored 35 league goals for the white half of Madrid last season – a tally bettered only by Barca’s Luis Suarez – and the Portuguese is at 4.33 with bet365 to open the scoring. A good value punt here is Karim Benzema who finished the campaign with 24 league strikes and is at 6.00.
Atleti’s first name is that of Antoine Griezmann, the prolific Frenchman who was the hero of their semi final, scoring the vital away goal against Bayern. Griezmann is among the favourites to top score at Euro 2016 and is at 5.50 to find the net first here.
Meanwhile, it’s not been the most prolific of seasons for Gareth Bale but the Welshman scored in 2014 after extra time and is known to rise to the big occasions. Bale to score anytime in 90 minutes looks to be a strong tip here at 3.10.
We’ve seen that in two 2015-16 La Liga matches between these two, only three goals were scored in total. The 2014 final finished 1-1 before an extra time deluge but it all seems to suggest that this won’t be a particularly high scoring affair.
The under 2.5 goals line is currently set at bet365’s 1.57 while a figure of 1.18 to go under 3.5 goals looks a solid option. In fact, a correct score bet on 1-1 after 90 minutes at 6.00 may bring further reward.
There will certainly be drama as these two bitter rivals square up although stats suggest there may not be a glut of goals. Greater quality usually succeeds in games such as these and it could be down to Ronaldo and / or Bale to turn this Real Madrid’s way once again.