Champions League Final 2017: Juventus Set to Outgun the Galacticos?
Occasionally when betting on football there will be games that even the bookmakers can’t decide who will win. With Real Madrid at a best price of 89/50, Juventus 2/1 and the draw at 9/4, clearly there is money to be made on this Champions League final, which will be played out at Cardiff’s National Stadium of Wales on Saturday.
But the question is….where?
With any ‘one off’ game of football there are two outright possibilities to explore: that one of the sides will win inside 90 minutes, or that the contest goes to extra time/penalties.
Three of the last five Champions League finals have entered the additional period, and that’s a conclusion that is a distinct possibility here. Juventus are the kings of the shutout, twice blocking out Barcelona in the last eight before conceding just one in 180 minutes against free-scoring Monaco in the semis.
Real Madrid needed extra time to see off their city rivals in the 2013/14 final, and just two years later the Galacticos were at it again, requiring penalties this time to see off the plucky Atleti. Zinedine Zidane’s outfit are exceptional in these Champions League finales – they’ve won five of their last five – but often they have just needed a bit more time to break the spirit of their opponents.
There are frailties to this Real side, believe it or not for a double-chasing outfit, and perhaps more so than Juventus. They were blitzed by Atletico in the second leg of their semi-final, were lucky, in some respects, to get past Bayern in the last eight and prior to that failed to keep a clean sheet at all in the group stage.
Juve, based on that rock-solid backline and guile in attack, are a safer bet in many respects. Back the Italian stallions to lift the trophy at Evens with Betfair.
The First Goalscorer market is dominated by Cristiano Ronaldo – no surprise there – but if Juventus can shutout Lionel Messi, Neymar and Luis Suarez twice, then they can do likewise to CR7 as well.
So how about a tilt on Gonzalo Higuain instead? The Juve frontman has bagged five in twelve Champions League outings this term and 25 in all competitions. He was an expensive signing, but proven goal-getters are worth their weight in gold: back the Argentine to find the net at any time at 9/5 with 888sport.
And here’s an intriguing proposition for punters who enjoy long odds and crossed fingers. No Goalscorer is available at 15/2 with William Hill, and that would have landed in the second leg between Juventus and Barcelona. And as we know, there’s not much difference between the Catalan giants and the Galacticos.
Of all the betting markets available to punters, it is the goals-based wagers that are of most interest; specifically a lack of goals.
As mentioned, Juventus conceded just one goal in 360 minutes of football against Barcelona and Monaco, and while Real are appreciably outstanding going forward, this is a Champions League final – perhaps the biggest club game on the planet – and naturally conservatism is the order of the day.
Three of the last five finals in this competition have witnessed Under 2.5 Goals after 90 minutes (two of which involved Real), and as for the two that didn’t there was reasons for that. In 2013, Bayern took on Borussia Dortmund – never a side to go quietly – and the 2-1 result was no surprise between those two German giants. And then in 2015 Juventus ran into a Barcelona side arguably at the peak of their powers, so the 1-3 loss they suffered raised few eyebrows.
So your last bet of this Champions League final will depend upon how brave you are feeling: Under 2.5 Goals is the pragmatist’s choice at 71/100 with Marathon Bet, while Under 1.5 Goals – a handsome 2/1 with BetBright – certainly has legs.
- Juventus to lift the trophy at Evens with Betfair
- Gonzalo Higuain to score anytime at 9/5 with 888sport
- Under 2.5 Goals at 71/100 with Marathon Bet