Burnley v Manchester United: Battle of the Unlikely Basement Dwellers
Thirteenth-placed Manchester United travel to third from bottom Burnley on Sunday and even though it’s early days in the new Premier League season, few punters would have envisaged that both teams would be in the bottom half when they met at Turf Moor.
Under Sean Dyche, the Clarets made it into the Europa League places at the end of 2017/18 while Manchester United finished second behind runaway leaders Manchester City. It’s fair to say that both teams have been woeful in recent weeks but who will leave this game with a welcome win?
There are issues with form on both sides but as you might expect, Manchester United start as favourites and you can back Jose Mourinho’s men for the win at best odds of 7/10 with MarathonBet. The same bookmaker has the best numbers on the draw at 141/50 while it’s over to Unibet for the top price on a Burnley win at 96/19.
Manchester United’s problems are well-documented but their chief issue is in defence where their failure to sign a centre back has been highlighted. Brighton and Spurs have taken advantage of that situation but can Burnley do the same?
The Clarets don’t have that attacking edge and with three goals in three EPL matches so far this season, we don’t expect the side to cause as many problems to United’s under-fire defence. A narrow away win looks the better option but odds of 7/10 on a struggling side hold little value so we’ll look elsewhere for some more interesting prices.
Individual Goal Scorers
Romelu Lukaku wasted a golden chance to get on the scoresheet as United lost to Spurs on Monday night but despite a slow start to the season, the Belgian striker is favourite to score the first goal in this match at best odds of 81/20 with MarathonBet.
Alexis Sanchez follows at a top price of 111/20 with MarathonBet again but the Chilean is clearly struggling following his move from Arsenal and has yet to find his shooting boots at Old Trafford. Marcus Rashford may be a better option at 61/10 – also with MarathonBet – while Paul Pogba has netted twice this season from the penalty spot and will be a tempter at a best of 8/1 with 10Bet and Betway.
Burnley first appear in the shape of New Zealand international striker Chris Wood who is quoted at best odds of 8/1 with Betway. Wood scored ten goals in 24 league games last season and has the capacity to find the net against the bigger clubs but he’s yet to get off the mark in 2018/19.
From midfield, it may be worth considering Juan Mata at best odds of 9/1 with 10Bet or the Burnley pair of Sam Vokes and Ashley Barnes who are available at the same top price of 10/1 with Betway. There are lots of options but we’ll start our tips with a punt on Paul Pogba.
The fact that the Frenchman is taking his side’s penalties has influenced our judgement but we’ll take the anytime goal bet which is still reasonably priced at a best of 3/1 with 10Bet.
Other Side Bets
Despite losing two of their opening three matches, Manchester United have scored four goals across those three games and even though they drew a blank against Spurs, the Red Devils were a threat going forward – at least in the first half.
United’s issues come at the back so Both Teams to Score could be a good option for Sunday’s game. This bet is available at best odds of 19/16 with 188Bet and considering that BTTS is usually odds on, that looks generous for two sides that let in seven goals between them last weekend.
We may not, however, see a glut of goals as Burnley’s attack is unlikely to cause too much of a sustained threat. Overall, we’re looking for Manchester United to grind out a result so, you could take over 2.5 goals at best odds of 6/5 with William Hill.
An odds against price on the Over 2.5 goal line is tempting but we’ll finish with a punt on a correct score of 2-1 to Manchester United which is listed at 33/4 with 10Bet and Sport Pesa.
Expect United to bounce back but instead of taking the straight win, we suggest looking at these side bets which offer more value and will hopefully add up to a profitable afternoon to enhance our enjoyment of another post-match Mourinho press conference.