BetFred Bowl – Odds and Betting Preview
The BetFred Bowl is essentially a consolation race for those horses who performed well at the Cheltenham Gold Cup without actually winning it. Thursday’s race at Aintree therefore provides us with a strong field and it features some familiar names whose form and chances we were assessing just two weeks ago.
2014 King George Chase – Silviniaco Conti
The horse racing bookies are split between two horses for this event but the majority are opting for Silviniaco Conti who is quoted at 9/4 with Bet365. The horse fell at Cheltenham in 2013 but was among the favourites for the Cheltenham Gold Cup this year after taking the King George VI Chase at Kempton in December.
However, after finishing outside of the places for the second year running, there is little in the way of form to suggest a win at Aintree this week.
Dynaste is favourite with some bookmakers while available at a slightly better 5/2 with BetFred and is highly fancied after winning at Aintree as a novice in 2013. The David Pipe trained 8 year old also took the RyanAir Chase recently and is therefore showing better form than Silviniaco Conti coming into this one.
Questions have been raised over the grey’s stamina but in a head to head, Dynaste seems to be a more worthy contender out of the two favourites.
The biggest challenge to the top two is expected to come from First Lieutenant who was a late withdrawal from the Gold Cup last month. This horse took the BetFred Bowl in 2013 and the Mouse Morris trained horse looks a much better option at odds of 4/1 with BetVictor.
A large field was originally declared for this race but that has been whittled down to 14 leaving only a small pool of outside options. Many of the best performing Gold Cup horses are also out so who are the best picks for an each way bet?
Boston Bob at 14/1 with Stan James is a serious option after an impressive start to his career. The 9 year old has seven wins from thirteen starts together with a second and a third place and although this may be a stronger field than he’s faced in the past, the Willie Mullins trained horse is a strong option at that price to come in the top three.
Elsewhere, Argocat is a versatile horse with a good record on the flat and over the jumps that includes five wins and two places in 14 National Hunt outings. One bookie has declared a miserly 16/1 on the 6 year old but elsewhere you can get as much as 33/1 with Stan James.
The betting trends are very interesting for this race and you may want to pay particular attention to the fact that four of the last six winners have been trained by the Pipe family. Martin claimed the opening two before handing across to son David and that may make Dynaste an even stronger option for the win.
It seems that age is something of an irrelevance in this event with the last five winners ranging from 7 to 11 although that might rule out the relative inexperience of the 6 year old Argocat. The winner’s prices also show a wide range in the same period from 6/4 favourite through to 12/1.
It all comes back to a potential fight between the two favourites and although Dynaste has the better claims, we expect First Lieutenant’s quality over the testing fences to come through at 4/1 with Boston Bob offering the best alternative among the Each Way picks.
First Lieutenant to win at 4/1 with BetVictor
Boston Bob Each Way at 14/1 with Stan James