Arsenal v Manchester City: Champions League Places on the Line

Arséne Wenger vs. Pep Guardiola

The Super Sunday game in this weekend’s Premier League really couldn’t be any bigger as a struggling Arsenal team tackle Manchester City at the Emirates. Both teams are desperate for points as they look to finish inside the top four but who will have the advantage at the end of 90 minutes?

Match Odds

The bookies are coming down on the side of Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City despite the fact that they are the away side and the best odds on this outcome are listed at 7/5 with Bet365. If you fancy Arsenal to upset those odds then the top price for a home win is 85/40 with MarathonBet while the draw completes this market at 11/4 – also with MarathonBet.

You only have to look at Arsenal’s inconsistent form to see why they are the outside punt and coming into this game they have lost four of their last six matches. There’s no disgrace in losing to Bayern Munich but defeats to Watford and West Bromwich Albion underline how fragile the Gunners are right now.

However, they can also beat anyone on their day and there is definite value in those win odds of 85/40.

Individual Goal Scorers

We’ll come back to the result but for the moment, first goal scorer betting shows City’s Sergio Aguero as the favourite to find the net first with the striker quoted at a best of 4/1 with Paddy Power and William Hill.

Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez follows on at 5/1 with Ladbrokes and 188Bet while Olivier Giroud can be found at a top price of 11/2 with Bet365 and BetBright. Giroud gets a lot of criticism but he does score goals even against the bigger clubs and while he may not start this match, backing the Frenchman at 17/10 with either 32Red or 888Sport could be a sound move.

Naturally there is plenty of threat from midfield in both camps and for those supporting Manchester City in this game, Leroy Sane at a best of 16/5 for an anytime goal looks like value. Another price that stands out is over in the Arsenal camp where Mesut Ozil is listed at odds of 23/5 with 32Red.

German international Ozil has received plenty of criticism during his side’s recent slump and he may not start this game but there is no doubting his quality and that’s another value price for a goal in 90 minutes.

Other Side Bets

Despite an array of quality strikers, neither side is really impressing in terms of goals scored. Arsenal are, at least, managing more than two goals a game across the season but that average has dipped in recent weeks and they tend to struggle to find the net against the bigger sides.

All of this is leading up to our third tip of the game which is under 2.5 goals – currently quoted at a best of 141/100 with MarathonBet. With so much on the line here, the first priority for either team is to not lose the game and as such, we could be in for a very cagey and defensive 90 minutes.

In turn, that leads up to the correct score betting where there is a ton of value if this does turn into a low scoring match. The 0-0 draw is on offer at best odds of 16/1 with 188Bet and that is seriously tempting. Elsewhere, a 1-0 win for Manchester City is listed at 45/4 with 10Bet while the same scoreline in favour of Arsenal currently drops in at a top price of 14/1 with Bet365.

If pushed, we would go for Arsenal 1 Manchester City 0 at that 14/1 figure but our tips for this weekend are at shorter odds. However, we are looking at the outsiders in the result market as Arsenal are giving some good value at that 85/40 price.

Detractors would argue that home advantage won’t be too much of a factor in this game with so much unrest among Gunners fans leading to a subdued atmosphere at the Emirates. That could obviously play into City’s hands but neither team is really impressing and with three wins in six, Guardiola’s team have patchy form at best.

Sometimes, betting is all about a hunch; we know that Arsenal have the quality to beat any English team on their day and as the outsiders for Sunday’s game, that win price with MarathonBet really looks too good to turn down.

Best Bets:

  • Arsenal to win at 85/40 with MarathonBet
  • Olivier Giroud to score anytime at 17/10 with 32Red
  • Under 2.5 goals at 141/100 with MarathonBet
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