2019 Qipco 1000 Guineas Winner Odds and Betting Preview
Following the turn of the Males on Saturday afternoon, it’s Ladies day in an equine sense on Sunday at Newmarket, with some of the finest fillies around Europe showing their wares to become the 1000 Guineas winner on the Rowley Mile course.
This race is identical to the 2000 Guineas version in terms of course, distance and prize money to the Colts from the previous day – and is the first female race of the Triple Crown series, along with The Oaks and St. Leger.
Event Date: 5 May, 2019
The 1000 Guineas began around five years after the 2000 equivalent back in 1814, under Jockey Club supremo, Sir Charles Bunbury. Like the male counterpart, the 1000 Guineas soon became the prestigious race that it is to this day.
All of the record holders of the race; Leading Owner, Trainer and Jockey, date back to the 19th century, so the leading lights of the modern era have plenty to live up to yet.
One record to be broken in 2018 was by Billesdon Brook, trained by Richard Hannon Jr, and this horse was the winner of the 1000 Guineas at the biggest ever starting price of 66/1, but the usual leading trainers and owners are back this season to try and return to the winners’ enclosure.
In this article, we will look in more detail at some of the leading contenders of the female classic, to try and point our readers in the right direction for a winning bet.
For anyone who wishes to place their bets before the final declaration stage on Friday, please be aware that only Betfred and Tote Sport are currently offering Non-Runner No Bet on this race.
Therefore, if you back any horse without choosing these bookmakers before the final declarations are announced, you will lose your wager if the horse does not run in the race on Sunday.
Qabala leapt to the head of the betting for the Qipco 1000 Guineas with a decisive victory in the Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes at Newmarket last month. The Roger Varian-trained filly, who beat her stablemate Mot Juste by a length and a quarter, gave jockey David Egan the biggest win of his career, and the duo are a best price of 3/1 with Black Type to backup that success with Guineas glory.
A previously open 1000 Guineas ante post market had reflected the fact that no filly had been able to lay down emphatic claims, until Varian’s charge won in decisive fashion. Following the victory, the trainer suggested that plenty of improvement can be gained after the run, and Varian also said that he almost did not let the filly take her chance, due to not looking very well in her coat. Qabala is an obvious horse to consider for the shortlist on recent evidence.
Skitter to Scatter her Rivals?
Following three victories in succession at the end of her two-year-old career, John Oxx reports 1000 Guineas second favourite Skitter Scatter in excellent form as she bids to give her trainer a first Classic success for ten years, since the legendary Sea The Stars back in 2009.
The trio of wins which included a Group 1 victory in the Moyglare Stud Stakes, the 6-1 shot with Unibet and 888Sport has, according to her trainer, improved markedly after suffering a slight setback in February. Skitter Scatter is the highest-rated horse in the race according to official ratings, and she looks to hold solid each-way claims at least.
As is usual, with most Group races across England and Ireland, Aidan O’Brien has once again a strong hand in his pursuit of a fourth 1000 Guineas win in the last eight years. The Ballydoyle operation has four entries at the five-day declaration stage before Sunday’s race, but Hermosa looks unlikely to take her chance, and could well run in a different race at Newmarket over the weekend, so we will give a little insight into their more intended runners.
According to the bookmakers, Just Wonderful (7/1 with Ladbrokes and William Hill) is O’Brien’s leading hope of victory if only showing inconsistent form as a two-year-old. Her best piece of work on the racecourse was the beating of Dandhu in decisive fashion in the Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket, but her overall profile isn’t that convincing for a potential classic winner, in truth.
Fairyland (8/1 with Coral and SportingBet) has arguably the best form of the quartet on what she showed last year, by winning the Lowther and Cheveley Park Stakes in narrow victories. However, she has raced only over six furlongs so far in her career, and the negatives surrounding the daughter of Kodiac suggests the step up to eight furlongs could well be beyond her stamina compass.
Fleeting completes the Ballydoyle team, but is something of an unknown quantity, by finishing only third to Just Wonderful in a Group 3 at the Curragh before going off at 12/1 when coming from last to first to beat Star Terms in the May Hill Stakes at Doncaster last September. It would be churlish to rule out any horse trained by the great Aidan O’Brien, but Fleeting looks to be more of a staying type going forwards.
Others to Consider
As most horse racing enthusiasts will know, the O’Brien training tree does not stop with Aidan, as Joseph O’Brien has already made his footprint in the sport during his fledgling training career. Joseph sends over Iridessa, who is a best-priced 8/1 chance with Ladbrokes and Coral.
By Derby winner Ruler of The World, she stayed on strongly when beating Hermosa by a length and a half in the Fillies’ Mile at Newmarket last October as her best piece of form. The concern would be if the mile trip is on the inadequate side.
One of the more significant 1000 Guineas trial races of the new flat campaign is the Fred Darley Stakes at Newbury, which was won by Dandhu, trained by David Elsworth. The winner had Iconic Choice and Star Terms behind last time out and is likely to renew rivalry with both again on Sunday. The extra furlong is the unknown here, but Dandhu is not without ability, and could run very well.
A very intriguing renewal indeed. Several of the intended runners have already seen the racetrack this season, which offers some clues as to the winner. Our marginal preference is for Qabala to claim the race after her very taking performance in the Nell Gwyn last month. It is a very solid piece of form, and with improvement expected from her trainer, she could be very difficult to beat. The 3/1 on offer with Black Type looks to be decent value.
An each-way punt is taken on Skitter Scatter at 6/1 with Unibet and 888Sport as a good alternative bet. It may well prove to be a churlish statement after the race, but the O’Brien string does not look to be their strongest team sent over for this race in comparison to recent years, and the John Oxx-trained filly should be amongst the leaders inside the final furlong.