2019 FA Cup Final: Manchester City v Watford Odds and Betting Preview
August 11th 2018 was the starting date for the 2018/19 version of the FA Cup. 736 teams have been involved in the competition, and now just two clubs remain with hopes of holding aloft the prestigious trophy.
Manchester City and Watford will do battle at Wembley Stadium on Saturday evening with a kick-off time of 17:00 BST.
With victory, Manchester City will create history in English football by being the first club to win all three domestic trophies (Carabao Cup, Premier League and FA Cup) in one season. Standing in their way are a Watford team, who finished in eleventh place in the Premier League this season. All known form would point to a victory for Pep Guardiola’s side, but this is the FA Cup as we all know, and anything can happen.
Date: May 18, 2019
Path to The Final
Manchester City kicked off their FA Cup campaign this season with a 7-0 hammering of Rotherham, who have since been relegated from the Championship. Round Four was equally impressive as Pep Guardiola’s side romped to a 5-0 win over Premier League side, Burnley.
A trip to League Two outfit Newport County was Round Five’s task, and County made it tough for Manchester City, who were level at the break. Ultimately the class told and City eased to a 4-1 win.
Swansea hosted Manchester City at the Quarter-final stage, and the Welsh side led 2-0 at the interval, but City grinded the Swans down, and Sergio Aguero scored the decisive goal in a 3-2 win late on.
City’s Semi-final opponents were Brighton And Hove Albion, as the floodgates looked likely to open again as Gabriel Jesus gave the Sky Blues an early lead at Wembley. It wasn’t to be though as Albion contained City for the most part, but the solitary goal was enough to book another day out at the National Stadium on Saturday.
National League South side Woking – who have had their own giant killing exploits over the years in the FA Cup were Watford’s Round Three opponents. Those fears were allayed early on however, as the Hornets eased to a 2-0 win.
An impressive 2-0 away win at Newcastle in Round Four was supplemented with another away trip in Round Five to Loftus Road, as Javi Gracia’s side beat Queens Park Rangers with a solitary Etienne Capoue goal on the stroke of half time to book a spot in the last eight.
Watford finally got the opportunity for a home tie in the Quarter finals against Crystal Palace as Andre Gray scored the winner for the home side with around ten minutes remaining.
Arguably the tie of the whole tournament came in the Semi Finals as Watford and Wolverhampton Wanderers did battle at Wembley Stadium. Wolves led 2-0 through Matt Doherty and Raul Jiminez, but the dynamic of the contest changed on 66 minutes when Watford wide man Gerard Deulofeu entered the game.
The Spaniard pulled one back with eleven minutes remaining and Troy Deeney dramatically levelled the tie with a penalty in injury time to force the extra thirty minutes. Deulofeu subsequently scored a sublime winner on the stoke of half time in extra time to give the Hornets their first FA Cup final appearance in 35 years.
A total of 48 points split the two teams at the end of the Premier League season, which was just two points less than Watford’s total haul over their league campaign. Guardiola’s men are the obvious favourites to win the FA Cup within normal time on Saturday with William Hill offering the best industry price at the time of writing of 24/100.
The Draw is next best in the betting at 6/1 with Betfred, while Betfred are again the top price on a Watford victory in normal time of 14/1.
Manchester City won their last 14 consecutive league games to win the Premier League title, while since qualifying for the FA Cup final, Watford won just one game in their last six outings in the league. The odds are very short on City to win the FA Cup, but considering the vast differential in talent, it does seem unlikely that Watford could repeat the exploits of Wigan Athletic, who beat Manchester City in the final back in 2013.
Individual Goal Scorers
Manchester City striker Sergio Aguero narrowly missed out in the race for the Premier League’s Golden Boot with 21 goals this season, but the Argentinian hotshot can gain recompense by scoring first here. Ladbrokes and Betway are the top price of 14/5 for the 30-year-old to continue his fine scoring run of seven goals in his last eleven appearances in all competitions.
Fellow City striker, Gabriel Jesus, is a general back-up to the Argentinian hotshot, but Guardiola could decide to start the Brazilian star alongside Aguero in an attacking tandem. Jesus can be backed at 18/5 with Unibet. It would be sensible to check the teams before kick-off however, to see if he is in the starting eleven before placing any wagers.
Watford’s first interest in the opening goal scorer market comes from Andre Gray at 14/1 with SportPesa and 10bet, which does seem slightly under-priced. Gray has scored seven league goals, but he has been used sparingly in recent weeks. Perhaps better value comes from Troy Deeney and Gerard Deulofeu, who are 14/1 and 16/1 respectively with Betfred as the pair have ten Premier League goals apiece.
A couple of others to consider at are City’s Belgian midfielder, Kevin De Bruyne who has popped up with some crucial goals at specific times throughout his Manchester City career and is worthy of consideration at 9/1 with Unibet and Betfred. Central defender, Aymeric Laporte has proven himself to be a rock at the heart of the Manchester City rear-guard and can pop up with goals from set-pieces. At the best industry price of 33/1 with SportPesa and 10bet once again, he is definitely worth a second glance.
Other Side Bets
Short-price backers could well be tucking into the generally available 1/2 on offer for Over 2.5 Goals in this game. On this occasion however, I’m not prepared to be involved as this contest could be a closer affair than the odds suggest. My advice is to take the 13/8 on offer with Betfred for Under 2.5 Goals, as this game could be a tense affair as long as Watford can keep the scores level.
Trying to find worthwhile bets in this game has been more difficult than most games, but the Double Result of a Draw at half-time, but Manchester City to prevail at full-time can be had at 17/5 with Unibet. Provided that Watford can make life difficult for the Sky Blues, this could be a sound selection.
Our Correct Score bet for this game is a 2-0 win for Manchester CIty at full time. This outcome can be taken with Ladbrokes and SportingBet at the best industry odds of 11/2.
- Draw at Half time, with Manchester City winning at Full time at 17/5 with Unibet
- Under 2.5 Goals in the match at 13/8 with Betfred
- Manchester City 2-0 Watford Correct Score bet at 11/2 with Ladbrokes