2018 Russian Grand Prix: Odds and Preview

Attention! Actual odds referenced are correct at time of publishing at 8:09 am September 27, 2018 and are subject to change.

formula 1Two weeks ago in Singapore, defending drivers’ champion Lewis Hamilton recorded his fourth win in five races to extend his lead at the top of this year’s table. The Mercedes number one driver now has a 40 point gap over Sebastian Vettel in second place and, as we saw last season, Hamilton is starting to tighten his grip as the battle draws to a close.

On Sunday, the action turns to the Sochi Autodrom for the 2018 Russian Grand Prix but will Lewis Hamilton extend that lead even further, or can Vettel narrow the gap?

Race Betting

Lewis Hamilton

Lewis Hamilton

Victory in that Singapore GP ensures that Lewis Hamilton will start as favourite for Russia and the British driver goes off at odds of 11/10 with Ladbrokes and 188Bet. It’s been tight in the race win betting for much of this year and that’s the situation again with Sebastian Vettel close behind at 11/8 with William Hill.

The pair have now won 11 of the 15 Grand Prix to be run this year so we shouldn’t, perhaps, look beyond them but there are alternatives. Valtteri Bottas is our third favourite at best odds of 8/1 with Unibet and SportingBet, ahead of Kimi Raikkonen at a top price of 10/1 with SportingBet once again.

There is, supposedly, a ‘big six’ in Formula One this season but the bookmakers have effectively ruled out the rest of the field. Both Max Verstappen and Daniel Ricciardo have enjoyed Grand Prix success this year but the odds setters don’t rate them with Verstappen available at a top price of 35/1 with 10Bet and SportPesa while Ricciardo is even further back at a best of 50/1 with SportingBet.

Beyond those names, we probably can forget the rest as the chasing pack is led by a host of drivers including Sergio Perez and Romain Grosjean who are all out at 1000/1 with the likes of Unibet and Betway. Much like the bookmakers, we’ll dismiss them and move straight on.

Outright Updates

Sebastian Vettel

Sebastian Vettel

We’re getting to the point where any value in the outright betting markets is about to disappear completely and if you’ve not followed our advice to get behind the favourites, it’s almost too late.

Starting with the Drivers’ Championship we find Lewis Hamilton running away with the market and our defending champion is now available at best odds of 1/5 with BetFred. Sebastian Vettel is hanging on at a top price of 4/1 with William Hill and Coral while the rest of the field starts at 1000/1.

Moving along to the Constructors’ Championship and things are only marginally closer with Mercedes leading the way at best odds of 1/4 with Betway and 188Bet. Ferrari are available at a top price of 3/1 with Ladbrokes and Coral and the same bookmakers then move out to provide the best numbers for Red Bull at 300/1.

If you like to take some small profits, by all means get behind the favourites while we’ll move on and look for better value among the side bets.

Other Betting Options

Valtteri Bottas

Valtteri Bottas

The Singapore Grand Prix sprung one surprise at least when Denmark’s Kevin Magnussen recorded the Fastest Lap. That particular category has been shared around with neither Hamilton nor Vettel dominating but few punters actually expected the Haas driver to deliver last time out.

For Russia this weekend, Lewis Hamilton is the slight favourite to go round fastest at best odds of 15/4 with Boylesports and then we have Daniel Ricciardo and Sebastian Vettel locked at the same top price of 9/2 with SportingBet.

Max Verstappen and Valtteri Bottas are also at the same best odds, this time at 11/2 with Boylesports and then we move out to Kimi Raikkonen at a best of 7/1 with SportingBet. Magnussen’s performance on the Singapore street circuit will be seen as something of a freak outcome but many will want to consider the Dane at a top price of 66/1 with SportingBet.

In contrast, the Pole Position market has become a little more predictable with Lewis Hamilton starting at the front of the grid in five of the last eight Grand Prix. For Russia, Lewis is the odds on favourite at a best of 5/6 with BetFred, followed by Sebastian Vettel at a top price of 13/8 with BetFred once again.

Valtteri Bottas comes in next at 8/1 with Unibet followed by Kimi Raikkonen at 10/1 with Unibet and then we go right out to Daniel Ricciardo and Max Verstappen who can both be claimed at 33/1 with BetFred.

Verdict

The Russian Grand Prix came onto the F1 circuit as recently as 2014 and in the four editions that we’ve seen to date, Lewis Hamilton is the most successful driver with two wins. The Mercedes man was off the podium last year however as Valtteri Bottas took the chequered flag with Vettel in second and Raikkonen in third.

Earlier, Vettel had started on pole while Raikkonen recorded the fastest lap.

He’s won four of the last five Grand Prix so it will be tough to look beyond Hamilton here but Vettel is hanging in and with a strong and sensible drive we feel that the Ferrari man will just about keep this F1 season alive.

As for the side bets, the Pole Position market has become more predictable but even if we disregard Kevin Magnussen’s slightly freakish performance in Singapore, the Fastest Lap bet is a tough call with some good value for the correct prediction.

In 15 races to date, it’s been shared between seven drivers and after a good all-round drive in Sochi last year, the price that stands out for us is the 11/2 on Valtteri Bottas.

Best Bets for Russian Grand Prix 2018

Share Us if you like this post