2018 Qipco 1000 Guineas Odds and Betting Preview

Following the lads turn on Saturday, it’s lady’s day on Sunday at Newmarket, with some of the finest fillies around Europe showing their wares to become the 1000 Guineas winner on the Rowley Mile course.

This race is identical to the 2000 Guineas version in terms of course, distance and prize money to the Colts from the previous day – and is the first female race of the Triple Crown series, along with The Oaks and St. Leger.

History

The 1000 Guineas began around five years after the 2000 equivalent back in 1814, under Jockey Club supremo, Sir Charles Bunbury. Like the male counterpart, the 1000 Guineas soon became the prestigious race that it is to this day.

All of the record holders of the race; Leading Owner, Trainer and Jockey, date back to the 19th century, so the leading lights of the modern era have plenty to live up to yet.

Winter, trained by Aiden O’Brien was the winner of the 1000 Guineas in 2017 and the Irish training genius has several options again this year to try to continue his recent domination of the race.

In this article, we will look in more detail at some of the leading contenders of the female classic as to try to point our readers in the right direction for a winning bet.

Betting Advice

For anyone who wishes to place their bets before the final declaration stage on Friday, please be aware that only Sky Bet are currently offering Non-Runner No Bet on this race. Therefore, if you back any horse without choosing these bookmakers before the final declarations are announced, you will lose your wager if the horse does not run in the race on Sunday.

Another O’Brien Benefit Race?

Happily

For those who follow the Flat Racing scene closely, it will come as no surprise to see a Coolmoretrained horse at the head of the ante-post betting market. The current favourite of the 1000 Guineas is Happily, owned by Derrick Smith, John Magnier and Michael Tabor – who incidentally have co-owned the last three winners of this race.

Happily, the 5/2 market leader with several bookmakers, including Sky Bet and William Hill, has won four races from her seven career outings, and has not been seen since her disappointing effort in the Juvenile Turf race at the Breeders’ Cup meeting last November.

Arguably the best piece of race form on offer for the 1000 Guineas came when Happily, under a strong Ryan Moore ride, came through to claim the Group 1 Grand Criterium at Chantilly last October, over a mile on soft ground. A similar effort here could well be good enough.

Notable Contenders

English trainer Charlie Appleby looks to have the strongest chance of a home victory, as the Godolphin operation has Soliloquy and Wild Illusion as notable contenders.

The former showed her recent wellbeing by claiming the renowned Guineas trial, Group 3 Nell Gwyn Stakes at Newmarket, just over a fortnight ago. Soliloquy was hardly troubled in the race, which will likely put the daughter of Dubawi spot on for this race. At the current ante-post odds of 13/2 with Black Type and Sky Bet, the filly looks to have solid each-way claims in the race at the very least.

According to the British Horseracing Board handicapper, Wild Illusion has the best rating of all the field leading up to the 1000 Guineas. This is mainly due to her solid effort in taking the Group 1 Prix Marcel Boussac at Chantilly last November. Belying her odds of 25/1, Wild Illusion was driven to lead two furlongs from home and showed great determination to hold on. At 8/1 with William Hill, and Betfred, if Wild Illusion turns up in the same form, she could be difficult to beat.

Aiden O’Brien’s second string, I Can Fly, is a lightly raced fillywho may spring a surprise on Sunday afternoon. After winning her maiden at Dundalk, I Can Fly has finished third in the Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes at Newmarket last October – beaten by only just over one length – and followed up that effort with another third-placed finish at Leopardstown’s Group 3 1000 Guineas trail last month.

It wouldn’t be the greatest surprise for this horse to show the necessary improvement required to win under her mercurial trainer and her best odds of just 8/1 with Black Type suggests she has decent claims here.

Best of the Rest

Plenty of significant money in the ante-post market has come for the Willie McCreery trained Liquid Amber in recent days. The daughter of Kitten’s Joy broke her maiden in startling fashion in the Group 3 Flame of Tara Stakes at the Curragh last August and the filly looks to be one who could be competitive at a price.

Owned by the Niarchos Family, whose colours led Miesque to Guineas glory back in 1987, the owners could have another one for the scrapbook here with Liquid Amber at the juicy odds of 20/1 with Sky Bet and Black Type.

Horse Racing tends to throw up heart-warming stories from time to time and nothing would be more poignant than if Dans Dream galloped to 1000 Guineas glory on Sunday afternoon.

Former football star turned racehorse trainer, Mick Channon has Dans Dream under his care for former cricket star, Sir Ian Botham and rugby legend, Sir Gareth Edwards among others in the syndicate who have stumped up the £30,000 supplement fee to take their chance in the big race. Victory would also mean a £315,000 boost for the Nicholls Spinal Injury Foundation, so Dans Dream is likely to have lots of supporters at the current odds of 14/1 that are widely available.

Verdict

Happily is a worthy favourite for the 1000 Guineas due to her form, hugely successful trainer and leading owners. She ticks all the boxes required to win the race, however, a chance is taken on the Charlie Appleby trained Soliloquy to find the necessary improvement required to win the big race. Her taking effort at Newmarket recently showcased her talents and the Dubawi filly could be the one to be on here at generous odds of 13/2.

An each-way punt is taken on Liquid Amber in a bid for the small McCreery stable to shoot down his more illustrious rivals. Liquid Amber has ‘wintered well and is pleasing me’, according to her trainer and that could translate to the racecourse this weekend at the generous odds of 20/1.

Best Bets:

Share Us if you like this post