2018 Hungarian Grand Prix Odds

Attention! Actual odds referenced are correct at time of publishing at 8:19 am July 25, 2018 and are subject to change.

Things can change very quickly in Formula One and, having held the lead in the Drivers’ Championship for the last two races, Sebastian Vettel slumped back into second following the German Grand Prix.

Vettel’s retirement meant that race winner Lewis Hamilton overturned a deficit and now has a 17 point lead which could prove very significant as we move through the second half of the season. This week we’re off to Hungary but can Hamilton extend that lead or will Vettel bounce back and remain in overall contention?

Men to Beat

The bookies are mainly concerned about two drivers this week and it’s actually Sebastian Vettel who starts as favourite for a win in Hungary at 15/8 with William Hill and Black Type. Hamilton follows at best odds of 10/3 with Coral before the prices start to move out.

These two are starting to dominate the 2018 season and that domination extends to the Hungarian Grand Prix. Hamilton holds the record for most wins with five while Vettel took the chequered flag here 12 months ago but is it all about two men in the run in to the end of this campaign?

Chasing Pack

Sebastian Vettel

Third favourite Max Verstappen is behind the market leaders at a top industry price of 7/2 with SportingBet and having claimed his first win of 2018 in Austria, there will be renewed interest in the Dutchman this week.

Moving through the outright win market for Hungary, Daniel Ricciardo is on offer at 4/1 with Boylesports and then we move out to Kimi Raikkonen and Valtteri Bottas who can both be picked up at 16/1 with MarathonBet. Neither of those two men have tasted victory this season although they have both been consistent with a number of podium finishes.

As always, the rest of the field has effectively been ruled out by the bookmakers with no other driver within touching distance of the top six. If you really want to consider an outside punt, Carlos Sainz and Nico Hulkenberg are among a host of drivers available at best odds of 1000/1 with Unibet and Coral.

Outright Updates

We’ll offer a verdict and some additional markets for Hungary as we move through but following Hamilton’s win in Germany last weekend, it’s a good time to update the outright markets. The defending champion reclaims the lead in the Drivers’ Championship and is now available at a top price of 4/6 with Coral to reclaim his crown at the end of the 2018 season. Meanwhile, Sebastian Vettel has drifted to 15/8 with William Hill and Betway and with Valtteri Bottas third favourite at 125/1 with Betway, this has effectively been declared a ‘two horse race’.

The Constructors’ Championship is, once again, just as clear cut with Mercedes available at best odds of 8/15 with Ladbrokes and Coral while Ferrari follow at 6/4 with William Hill and MarathonBet. Red Bull are the nearest challengers at 50/1 with 188Bet and BetFred.

We’ve been saying for some time that we think the favourites will come through in both of those long term markets and if you agree, we would suggest taking the bet now before the prices decrease. In the meantime, it’s back to Hungary as we look for more race bets this weekend.

Other Betting Options

Lewis Hamilton

We’ve largely been focussing on the fastest lap and pole position markets for individual races this season and once again, there could be some good value in both options this weekend. Lewis Hamilton took his first fastest lap of the season at Hockenheim last time out but he starts way down the list as fourth favourite for a repeat in Hungary at best odds of 5/1 with SportingBet.

Daniel Ricciardo and Max Verstappen start as joint favourites at a top price of 3/1 with SportingBet while Sebastian Vettel follows at a best of 4/1 and once again, all of those prices are with SportingBet.

For reference, Ricciardo has the most fastest laps this season with three and that record is jointly held with Valtteri Bottas who is priced for Hungary at best odds of 7/1 with SportingBet. It could, however, be significant that Vettel and Hamilton have shared the profits in this market in the last two races.

In terms of pole position, the top two drivers – Hamilton and Vettel – have tended to dominate more and that dominance is reflected in the odds. Vettel actually starts as favourite to be at the front of the grid at best odds of 9/4 with SportingBet while Hamilton comes next at 3/1 with SportingBet again.

Max Verstappen can also be picked up at 3/1 with William Hill and then it’s Daniel Ricciardo at 4/1 with SportingBet. The rest are given little hope here with fifth favourites Kimi Raikkonen and Valtteri Bottas way out at the same top price of 20/1 with William Hill.

Verdict

Back in 2017, Sebastian Vettel started the Hungarian Grand Prix on Pole Position and he led through to take the chequered flag. Meanwhile, Fernando Alonso recorded the fastest lap in the Mclaren-Honda.

For this year’s renewal, while there are a number of contenders, we feel there is a pattern emerging that mirrors that of 2017 where Lewis Hamilton dominated the second half of the season to close out the Drivers Championship.

The fact that the Mercedes number one started so far down the grid yet still came through to win on Sunday  is an ominous sign for the rest of the field. The picks here may be obvious ones but as we’ve seen, Hamilton is not the favourite in many of these markets for Hungary so he offers some value too. There is still a long way to go but we feel that Lewis will gain momentum from that German win in Hockenheim and this is the time when the defending champion can start to take a grip on the 2018 F1 season.

Best Bets for Hungarian Grand Prix 2018:

  • Lewis Hamilton to win at 10/3 with Coral
  • Lewis Hamilton to record the Fastest Lap at 5/1 with SportingBet
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