2018 German Grand Prix Odds
Victory for Sebastian Vettel in the British Grand Prix last time out gives the German an eight point lead at the top of the Drivers’ Championship as he and Lewis Hamilton pull clear of the chasing pack.
Vettel now prepares for his home GP in Germany and as we reach the halfway point of the 2018 F1 season, we seem to have a thrilling battle on our hands in the race for this year’s title. Hamilton has the better record in Germany but who will come out on top on Sunday evening?
Lewis Hamilton leads the way in the outright win markets for Hockenheim and you can pick up the Mercedes driver at best odds of 13/8 with Ladbrokes and Coral. Vettel is also at 13/8 in places but elsewhere, you can back the Ferrari man at 7/4 with 188Bet.
Moving through the list, Valtteri Bottas continued his consistent season with a fourth place at Silverstone and you can pick up the Finn at a top price of 8/1 with Black Type and SportingBet while Kimi Raikkonen is available at a best of 10/1 with William Hill and MarathonBet.
As we’ve seen from the very start of the season, the bookies only have six drivers in mind for the race win. Max Verstappen is next at best odds of 12/1 with SportingBet while Daniel Ricciardo follows at a top price of 14/1 with Unibet before the numbers really start to move out.
Behind those six names, the remaining drivers all have four-figure odds attached with Kevin Magnussen leading a distant chasing pack at a best of 1000/1 with William Hill and Sun Bets. Victory from there seems unlikely to say the least so we’ll move on for now and consider our race verdict a little later.
Despite losing ground in the last two races, Lewis Hamilton remains favourite for a successful defence of his drivers’ title at best odds of 4/6 with Ladbrokes and Coral. Vettel follows at a top price of 6/4 with Betway and the bookies, like most of us, have effectively declared this to be a ‘two-horse race’.
Behind the favourites, things move into three figures with Valtteri Bottas the next on the list at 100/1 with William Hill and 188Bet.
Bottas may not have much chance of claiming the drivers’ title but some solid performances this season should help his Mercedes team take yet another Constructors’ Championship. In that market, the German manufacturer can be backed at best odds of 4/9 with Unibet and 888Sport with Ferrari trailing at 15/8 with Boylesports.
We’ve been saying for some time that both of those bets are likely to go with the favourites so, if you want to get involved then we would suggest taking those prices before they shorten even further.
In the meantime, we’ll return to Germany and consider the side markets for this weekend.
Sebastian Vettel finally recorded a Fastest Lap time as he took out the British Grand Prix while Lewis Hamilton has still to break his 2018 duck in this particular market. The majority of profits for the Fastest Lap bet have been split between Bottas, Ricciardo and Verstappen so this remains an option where we could find some value.
For Germany this weekend, it’s Valtteri Bottas who starts as favourite to go round fastest at best odds of 10/3 with William Hill while Hamilton follows at a top price of 7/2 with SportingBet. Other options for this market include Daniel Ricciardo and Max Verstappen who are both listed at 9/2 with William Hill while Sebastian Vettel is out at a tempting best of 5/1 with SportingBet.
Pole positions have been more predictable with Hamilton and Vettel dominating the front of the grid for most of the 2018 season so far. After ten races, both drivers have recorded four poles with Bottas and Ricciardo picking up one apiece.
As we come into this weekend’s race at Hockenheim, it’s Hamilton who leads this market at best odds of 11/10 with William Hill, followed by Vettel at 5/4 with William Hill and Bottas at 13/2 with SportingBet. The odds setters think it’s between those three as we then have a gap to Kimi Raikkonen at a distant 14/1 with William Hill.
Issues at the Nurburgring circuit meant that the German Grand Prix became a biennial event from 2016 onwards. We therefore have to go back two years to find our previous winner, who just happened to be Lewis Hamilton.
Hamilton has now won this event on three occasions and in that sense he has a clear advantage over Sebastian Vettel who has a poor record in his home race. To fill in the gaps, the now-retired Nico Rosberg started on pole in 2016 while Daniel Ricciardo recorded the fastest lap in the Red Bull.
It’s a tough call as always and while we’ve often gone for Lewis Hamilton as the race winner this season, the defending champion has often let us down but it is worth noting that the Englishman has only been off the podium in three of the ten races in 2018.
It was also proved at Silverstone two weeks ago that home advantage doesn’t really count in F1. You may be slightly more familiar with the surface and while there will be a noisy crowd behind Sebastian Vettel on Sunday, it’s unlikely he’ll be able to hear them.
Vettel has the momentum but Hamilton has a great record in Germany and we’re expecting the defending champion to produce a repeat of 2017 when he dominated the second half of the season to claim the world title. That particular race has a long way to go but we’re backing Hamilton to respond with victory at Hockenheim on Sunday while Daniel Ricciardo, who enjoyed a spate of fastest lap times at the start of the season, could well come through to deliver a profit in that particular market.
Best Bets for German Grand Prix 2018:
- Lewis Hamilton to win at 13/8 with Ladbrokes
- Daniel Ricciardo to record the Fastest Lap at 9/2 with William Hill